Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Sep 27 · 3:25pm CT · Maracanã Stadium · Rio De Janeiro · CBS · Neutral3:25pm CT
BAL
Baltimore Ravens · AFC North · 1-1 · Away
FPI 4.1 · rank 3.424 · No nflverse EPA
-3.5 (-110)
-180
DAL
Dallas Cowboys · NFC East · 1-1
FPI 3.1 · rank 4.043 · No nflverse EPA
+3.5 (-110)
+150
Maracanã at kickoff: 71°F, wind 5 mph, gusts 18 mph, 1% chance of precip.Display only. The 2024–2025 check did not show wind moving the spread or the total past the closing number, so weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
BAL -3.5
DAL +3.5 (-110)
BAL -3.5 (-110)
Model
BAL -1.1
Edge 2.4 pts DAL
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
Pass
DAL +150 · BAL -180
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • DAL rating 3.1, BAL rating 4.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Neutral site, so home field is 0.
  • Predicted margin is BAL by 1.1.
  • Edge is 2.4 points toward DAL.
  • Edge 2.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.1; neutral site (no home field)). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

BAL

FPI 4.1 · rank 3.424 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Lvs NO 24-17 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. W@ IND 41-23 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. Wvs WSH 41-3 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. W@ MIN 13-3 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. Wvs PHI 24-7 · Sat, Aug 15

DAL

FPI 3.1 · rank 4.043 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Wvs WSH 37-20 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. L@ NYG 28-20 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. Lvs NO 27-24 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. W@ ARI 34-13 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. W@ SEA 17-7 · Sat, Aug 15

Injuries

  • DoubtfulMalik Hooker · Dallas Cowboys
  • QuestionableDeMarvion Overshown · Dallas Cowboys
  • OutCobie Durant · Dallas Cowboys
  • OutP.J. Locke · Dallas Cowboys
  • Injured ReserveMalik Davis · Dallas Cowboys
  • QuestionableChris Moore · Baltimore Ravens
  • QuestionableRonnie Stanley · Baltimore Ravens
  • QuestionableZion Young · Baltimore Ravens
  • QuestionableJohn Simpson · Baltimore Ravens
  • QuestionableMalaki Starks · Baltimore Ravens

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 2.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.1; neutral site (no home field)). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.