Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Oct 4 · 8:30am CT · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · London · NFL Net · Neutral8:30am CT
IND
Indianapolis Colts · AFC South · 0-2 · Away
FPI -1.1 · rank 0.301 · No nflverse EPA
-4.5 (-110)
-205
WSH
Washington Commanders · NFC East · 0-2
FPI -3.2 · rank -1.419 · No nflverse EPA
+4.5 (-110)
+170
Tottenham Stadium at kickoff: 60°F, wind 5 mph, gusts 11 mph, 11% chance of precip.Display only. The 2024–2025 check did not show wind moving the spread or the total past the closing number, so weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
IND -4.5
WSH +4.5 (-110)
IND -4.5 (-110)
Model
IND -2.1
Edge 2.4 pts WSH
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
IND
WSH +170 · IND -205
Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • WSH rating -3.2, IND rating -1.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Neutral site, so home field is 0.
  • Predicted margin is IND by 2.1.
  • Edge is 2.4 points toward WSH.
  • Edge 2.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2.1; neutral site (no home field)). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline ticket is IND, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

IND

FPI -1.1 · rank 0.301 · No nflverse EPA

  1. L@ KC 33-30 OT · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Lvs BAL 41-23 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. Lvs DET 25-16 · Sat, Aug 29
  4. Lvs ATL 34-6 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. T@ NE 13-13 · Thu, Aug 13

WSH

FPI -3.2 · rank -1.419 · No nflverse EPA

  1. L@ DAL 37-20 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. L@ PHI 24-22 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. L@ BAL 41-3 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. L@ DET 17-13 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. Wvs MIA 20-7 · Fri, Aug 14

Injuries

  • QuestionableJeremy Reaves · Washington Commanders
  • QuestionableLeo Chenal · Washington Commanders
  • QuestionableFrankie Luvu · Washington Commanders
  • QuestionableCharles Omenihu · Washington Commanders
  • QuestionableTyler Owens · Washington Commanders
  • QuestionableAshton Dulin · Indianapolis Colts
  • QuestionableCharvarius Ward · Indianapolis Colts
  • OutAlec Pierce · Indianapolis Colts
  • Injured ReserveMicheal Clemons · Indianapolis Colts
  • Injured ReserveCarson Towt · Indianapolis Colts

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 2.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2.1; neutral site (no home field)). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML