Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Oct 11 · 12:00pm CT · Caesars Superdome · New Orleans, LA · FOX · Indoor12:00pm CT
MIN
Minnesota Vikings · NFC North · 2-0 · Away
FPI 1.5 · rank -1.31 · No nflverse EPA
-1.5 (-110)
-125
NO
New Orleans Saints · NFC South · 1-1 · Home
FPI -0.6 · rank -0.444 · No nflverse EPA
+1.5 (-110)
+105
Caesars Superdome is a dome. No weather in the number, and none on this card.Weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
MIN -1.5
NO +1.5 (-110)
MIN -1.5 (-110)
Model
NO -0.3
Edge 1.8 pts NO
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
Pass
NO +105 · MIN -125
Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • NO rating -0.6, MIN rating 1.5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to NO.
  • Predicted margin is NO by 0.3.
  • Edge is 1.8 points toward NO.
  • Edge 1.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

MIN

FPI 1.5 · rank -1.31 · No nflverse EPA

  1. W@ CHI 9-3 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Wvs GB 39-22 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. L@ DEN 34-6 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. Lvs BAL 13-3 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. W@ NYG 13-10 · Sat, Aug 15

NO

FPI -0.6 · rank -0.444 · No nflverse EPA

  1. W@ BAL 24-17 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. L@ DET 31-30 OT · Sun, Sep 13
  3. W@ DAL 27-24 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. L@ LAR 34-0 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. Lvs JAX 24-20 · Sat, Aug 15

Injuries

  • QuestionableChristen Miller · New Orleans Saints
  • QuestionableChase Young · New Orleans Saints
  • QuestionableJonas Sanker · New Orleans Saints
  • Injured ReserveKelvin Banks Jr. · New Orleans Saints
  • QuestionableNathan Shepherd · New Orleans Saints
  • QuestionableDeeJay Dallas · Minnesota Vikings
  • QuestionableJalen Redmond · Minnesota Vikings
  • QuestionableNick Samac · Minnesota Vikings
  • QuestionableBrian O'Neill · Minnesota Vikings
  • QuestionableJake Golday · Minnesota Vikings

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 1.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.