Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Sunday Slate
Sun, Oct 18 · 12:00pm CT · MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJ · FOX12:00pm CT
NO
New Orleans Saints · NFC South · 1-1 · Away
FPI -0.6 · rank -0.444 · No nflverse EPA
+2.5 (-110)
+120
NYG
New York Giants · NFC East · 1-1 · Home
FPI -6.6 · rank -4.993 · No nflverse EPA
-2.5 (-110)
-142
MetLife Stadium at kickoff: 47°F, wind 11 mph, gusts 24 mph, 21% chance of precip.Display only. The 2024–2025 check did not show wind moving the spread or the total past the closing number, so weather is not in the formula.
Market vs model
Spread
NYG -2.5
NYG -2.5 (-110)
NO +2.5 (-110)
NO +2.5 (-110)
Model
NO -3.6
Edge 6.1 pts NO
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
NO
NYG -142 · NO +120
Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean
Why
nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.
- NYG rating -6.6, NO rating -0.6.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
- Home field adds 2.4 to NYG.
- Predicted margin is NO by 3.6.
- Edge is 6.1 points toward NO.
- Edge 6.1 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
- Moneyline ticket is NO, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.
Recent form
NO
- W@ BAL 24-17 · Sun, Sep 20
- L@ DET 31-30 OT · Sun, Sep 13
- W@ DAL 27-24 · Fri, Aug 28
- L@ LAR 34-0 · Sat, Aug 22
- Lvs JAX 24-20 · Sat, Aug 15
NYG
- L@ LAR 28-6 · Mon, Sep 21
- Wvs DAL 28-20 · Sun, Sep 13
- W@ NYJ 23-6 · Fri, Aug 28
- W@ MIA 26-3 · Sat, Aug 22
- Lvs MIN 13-10 · Sat, Aug 15
Injuries
- QuestionableAndrew Thomas · New York Giants
- QuestionableDeonte Banks · New York Giants
- QuestionableTyler Nubin · New York Giants
- QuestionableBrian Burns · New York Giants
- QuestionableShelby Harris · New York Giants
- QuestionableChristen Miller · New Orleans Saints
- QuestionableChase Young · New Orleans Saints
- QuestionableJonas Sanker · New Orleans Saints
- Injured ReserveKelvin Banks Jr. · New Orleans Saints
- QuestionableNathan Shepherd · New Orleans Saints
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.