Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Oct 18 · 12:00pm CT · Lucas Oil Stadium · Indianapolis, IN · FOX · Indoor12:00pm CT
TEN
Tennessee Titans · AFC South · 0-2 · Away
FPI -4.7 · rank -3.123 · No nflverse EPA
+3.5 (-110)
+160
IND
Indianapolis Colts · AFC South · 0-2 · Home
FPI -1.1 · rank 0.301 · No nflverse EPA
-3.5 (-110)
-192
Lucas Oil Stadium is a dome. No weather in the number, and none on this card.Weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
IND -3.5
IND -3.5 (-110)
TEN +3.5 (-110)
Model
IND -6.1
Edge 2.6 pts IND
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
IND
IND -192 · TEN +160
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • IND rating -1.1, TEN rating -4.7.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to IND.
  • Predicted margin is IND by 6.1.
  • Edge is 2.6 points toward IND.
  • Edge 2.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 3.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline ticket is IND, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

TEN

FPI -4.7 · rank -3.123 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Lvs PHI 24-20 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Lvs NYJ 23-10 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. Lvs CHI 24-15 · Sat, Aug 29
  4. Wvs SEA 19-16 · Sun, Aug 23
  5. W@ SF 19-13 · Thu, Aug 13

IND

FPI -1.1 · rank 0.301 · No nflverse EPA

  1. L@ KC 33-30 OT · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Lvs BAL 41-23 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. Lvs DET 25-16 · Sat, Aug 29
  4. Lvs ATL 34-6 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. T@ NE 13-13 · Thu, Aug 13

Injuries

  • QuestionableAshton Dulin · Indianapolis Colts
  • QuestionableCharvarius Ward · Indianapolis Colts
  • OutAlec Pierce · Indianapolis Colts
  • Injured ReserveMicheal Clemons · Indianapolis Colts
  • Injured ReserveCarson Towt · Indianapolis Colts
  • QuestionableCor'Dale Flott · Tennessee Titans
  • QuestionableTony Pollard · Tennessee Titans
  • QuestionableTyjae Spears · Tennessee Titans
  • QuestionableSolomon Thomas · Tennessee Titans
  • Injured ReserveMilo Eifler · Tennessee Titans

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 2.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 3.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML