Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
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Sun, Oct 18 · 3:05pm CT · SoFi Stadium · Inglewood, CA · FOX3:05pm CT
ARI
Arizona Cardinals · NFC West · 1-1 · Away
FPI -5.1 · rank -2.419 · No nflverse EPA
+13.5 (-108)
+525
LAR
Los Angeles Rams · NFC West · 1-1 · Home
FPI 4.7 · rank 2.831 · No nflverse EPA
-13.5 (-112)
-750
SoFi Stadium is a dome. No weather in the number, and none on this card.Weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
LAR -13.5
LAR -13.5 (-112)
ARI +13.5 (-108)
Model
LAR -12.2
Edge 1.3 pts ARI
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
LAR
LAR -750 · ARI +525
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • LAR rating 4.7, ARI rating -5.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to LAR.
  • Predicted margin is LAR by 12.2.
  • Edge is 1.3 points toward ARI.
  • Edge 1.3 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 9.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline ticket is LAR, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

ARI

FPI -5.1 · rank -2.419 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Lvs SEA 31-7 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. W@ LAC 26-14 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. L@ GB 42-38 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. Lvs DAL 34-13 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. W@ LV 27-14 · Thu, Aug 13

LAR

FPI 4.7 · rank 2.831 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Wvs NYG 28-6 · Mon, Sep 21
  2. Lvs SF 27-7 · Thu, Sep 10
  3. W@ LAC 20-18 · Thu, Aug 27
  4. Wvs NO 34-0 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. W@ KC 20-12 · Sat, Aug 15

Injuries

  • QuestionableKamren Kinchens · Los Angeles Rams
  • QuestionableNate Landman · Los Angeles Rams
  • QuestionableJordan Whittington · Los Angeles Rams
  • Injured ReserveRonnie Rivers · Los Angeles Rams
  • QuestionableColby Parkinson · Los Angeles Rams
  • QuestionableMax Melton · Arizona Cardinals
  • QuestionableGarrett Williams · Arizona Cardinals
  • QuestionableDadrion Taylor-Demerson · Arizona Cardinals
  • QuestionableHjalte Froholdt · Arizona Cardinals
  • QuestionableRoy Lopez · Arizona Cardinals

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 1.3 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 9.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML