Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Oct 18 · 7:20pm CT · Lambeau Field · Green Bay, WI · NBC7:20pm CT
DAL
Dallas Cowboys · NFC East · 1-1 · Away
FPI 3.1 · rank 4.043 · No nflverse EPA
+3 (-110)
+142
GB
Green Bay Packers · NFC North · 1-1 · Home
FPI 0.5 · rank 0.913 · No nflverse EPA
-3 (-110)
-170
Lambeau Field at kickoff: 42°F, wind 12 mph, gusts 23 mph, 18% chance of precip.Display only. The 2024–2025 check did not show wind moving the spread or the total past the closing number, so weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
GB -3
GB -3 (-110)
DAL +3 (-110)
Model
DAL -0.2
Edge 3.2 pts DAL
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
Pass
GB -170 · DAL +142
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • GB rating 0.5, DAL rating 3.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to GB.
  • Predicted margin is DAL by 0.2.
  • Edge is 3.2 points toward DAL.
  • Edge 3.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

DAL

FPI 3.1 · rank 4.043 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Wvs WSH 37-20 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. L@ NYG 28-20 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. Lvs NO 27-24 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. W@ ARI 34-13 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. W@ SEA 17-7 · Sat, Aug 15

GB

FPI 0.5 · rank 0.913 · No nflverse EPA

  1. W@ NYJ 20-17 OT · Sun, Sep 20
  2. L@ MIN 39-22 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. Wvs ARI 42-38 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. W@ DEN 33-13 · Fri, Aug 21
  5. L@ PIT 28-9 · Thu, Aug 13

Injuries

  • OutAaron Banks · Green Bay Packers
  • OutWarren Brinson · Green Bay Packers
  • QuestionableJavon Hargrave · Green Bay Packers
  • OutJayden Reed · Green Bay Packers
  • OutZach Bako-Bewele · Green Bay Packers
  • DoubtfulMalik Hooker · Dallas Cowboys
  • QuestionableDeMarvion Overshown · Dallas Cowboys
  • OutCobie Durant · Dallas Cowboys
  • OutP.J. Locke · Dallas Cowboys
  • Injured ReserveMalik Davis · Dallas Cowboys

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 3.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.