Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Mon, Oct 26 · 7:15pm CT · Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA · ESPN7:15pm CT
DAL
Dallas Cowboys · NFC East · 1-1 · Away
FPI 3.1 · rank 4.043 · No nflverse EPA
+3 (-110)
+136
PHI
Philadelphia Eagles · NFC East · 2-0 · Home
FPI 1.5 · rank 0.641 · No nflverse EPA
-3 (-110)
-162
Lincoln Financial Field at kickoff: 50°F, wind 10 mph, gusts 22 mph, 11% chance of precip.Display only. The 2024–2025 check did not show wind moving the spread or the total past the closing number, so weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
PHI -3
PHI -3 (-110)
DAL +3 (-110)
Model
PHI -0.8
Edge 2.2 pts DAL
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
Pass
PHI -162 · DAL +136
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • PHI rating 1.5, DAL rating 3.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to PHI.
  • Predicted margin is PHI by 0.8.
  • Edge is 2.2 points toward DAL.
  • Edge 2.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

DAL

FPI 3.1 · rank 4.043 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Wvs WSH 37-20 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. L@ NYG 28-20 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. Lvs NO 27-24 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. W@ ARI 34-13 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. W@ SEA 17-7 · Sat, Aug 15

PHI

FPI 1.5 · rank 0.641 · No nflverse EPA

  1. W@ TEN 24-20 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Wvs WSH 24-22 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. Lvs CIN 30-13 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. L@ NE 24-21 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. L@ BAL 24-7 · Sat, Aug 15

Injuries

  • QuestionableJonathan Greenard · Philadelphia Eagles
  • DoubtfulDallas Goedert · Philadelphia Eagles
  • QuestionableSaquon Barkley · Philadelphia Eagles
  • Injured ReserveLandon Dickerson · Philadelphia Eagles
  • Injured ReserveEli Stowers · Philadelphia Eagles
  • DoubtfulMalik Hooker · Dallas Cowboys
  • QuestionableDeMarvion Overshown · Dallas Cowboys
  • OutCobie Durant · Dallas Cowboys
  • OutP.J. Locke · Dallas Cowboys
  • Injured ReserveMalik Davis · Dallas Cowboys

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 2.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.