Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Oct 25 · 8:30am CT · Stade de France · Saint-Denis · NFL Net · Neutral8:30am CT
PIT
Pittsburgh Steelers · AFC North · 1-1 · Away
FPI -2.8 · rank -3.731 · No nflverse EPA
-2.5 (-110)
-142
NO
New Orleans Saints · NFC South · 1-1
FPI -0.6 · rank -0.444 · No nflverse EPA
+2.5 (-110)
+120
No stadium coordinates on file, so weather stays off this card. It is not in the number either way.Weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
PIT -2.5
NO +2.5 (-110)
PIT -2.5 (-110)
Model
NO -2.2
Edge 4.7 pts NO
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
NO
NO +120 · PIT -142
Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • NO rating -0.6, PIT rating -2.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Neutral site, so home field is 0.
  • Predicted margin is NO by 2.2.
  • Edge is 4.7 points toward NO.
  • Edge 4.7 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 2.2; neutral site (no home field)). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline ticket is NO, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

PIT

FPI -2.8 · rank -3.731 · No nflverse EPA

  1. L@ NE 20-3 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Wvs ATL 20-13 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. L@ BUF 28-27 · Thu, Aug 27
  4. Lvs NYJ 17-0 · Fri, Aug 21
  5. Wvs GB 28-9 · Thu, Aug 13

NO

FPI -0.6 · rank -0.444 · No nflverse EPA

  1. W@ BAL 24-17 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. L@ DET 31-30 OT · Sun, Sep 13
  3. W@ DAL 27-24 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. L@ LAR 34-0 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. Lvs JAX 24-20 · Sat, Aug 15

Injuries

  • QuestionableChristen Miller · New Orleans Saints
  • QuestionableChase Young · New Orleans Saints
  • QuestionableJonas Sanker · New Orleans Saints
  • Injured ReserveKelvin Banks Jr. · New Orleans Saints
  • QuestionableNathan Shepherd · New Orleans Saints
  • QuestionableJamel Dean · Pittsburgh Steelers
  • QuestionableJoey Porter Jr. · Pittsburgh Steelers
  • QuestionableMichael Pittman Jr. · Pittsburgh Steelers
  • QuestionableJaylen Warren · Pittsburgh Steelers
  • QuestionableRico Dowdle · Pittsburgh Steelers

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 4.7 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 2.2; neutral site (no home field)). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML