Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Sunday Slate
Sun, Oct 25 · 3:05pm CT · State Farm Stadium · Glendale, AZ · CBS · Indoor3:05pm CT
DEN
Denver Broncos · AFC West · 1-1 · Away
FPI -0.3 · rank -1.675 · No nflverse EPA
-7.5 (-110)
-375
ARI
Arizona Cardinals · NFC West · 1-1 · Home
FPI -5.1 · rank -2.419 · No nflverse EPA
+7.5 (-110)
+295
State Farm Stadium is closed. Weather stays off this card.Weather is not in the formula.
Market vs model
Spread
DEN -7.5
ARI +7.5 (-110)
DEN -7.5 (-110)
DEN -7.5 (-110)
Model
DEN -2.4
Edge 5.1 pts ARI
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
DEN
ARI +295 · DEN -375
Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean
Why
nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.
- ARI rating -5.1, DEN rating -0.3.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
- Home field adds 2.4 to ARI.
- Predicted margin is DEN by 2.4.
- Edge is 5.1 points toward ARI.
- Edge 5.1 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -4.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
- Moneyline ticket is DEN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.
Recent form
DEN
- Wvs JAX 20-13 · Sun, Sep 20
- L@ KC 31-10 · Mon, Sep 14
- Wvs MIN 34-6 · Fri, Aug 28
- Lvs GB 33-13 · Fri, Aug 21
- W@ ATL 27-7 · Fri, Aug 14
ARI
- Lvs SEA 31-7 · Sun, Sep 20
- W@ LAC 26-14 · Sun, Sep 13
- L@ GB 42-38 · Fri, Aug 28
- Lvs DAL 34-13 · Sat, Aug 22
- W@ LV 27-14 · Thu, Aug 13
Injuries
- QuestionableMax Melton · Arizona Cardinals
- QuestionableGarrett Williams · Arizona Cardinals
- QuestionableDadrion Taylor-Demerson · Arizona Cardinals
- QuestionableHjalte Froholdt · Arizona Cardinals
- QuestionableRoy Lopez · Arizona Cardinals
- QuestionableMarvin Mims Jr. · Denver Broncos
- QuestionableJonah Coleman · Denver Broncos
- QuestionableRJ Harvey · Denver Broncos
- QuestionableJ.K. Dobbins · Denver Broncos
- OutJonathon Cooper · Denver Broncos
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.