Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

← The board
Sun, Oct 25 · 3:25pm CT · Allegiant Stadium · Las Vegas, NV · FOX · Indoor3:25pm CT
LAR
Los Angeles Rams · NFC West · 1-1 · Away
FPI 4.7 · rank 2.831 · No nflverse EPA
-7.5 (-110)
-345
LV
Las Vegas Raiders · AFC West · 2-0 · Home
FPI -3 · rank -3.231 · No nflverse EPA
+7.5 (-110)
+275
Allegiant Stadium is a dome. No weather in the number, and none on this card.Weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
LAR -7.5
LV +7.5 (-110)
LAR -7.5 (-110)
Model
LAR -5.3
Edge 2.2 pts LV
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
LAR
LV +275 · LAR -345
Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • LV rating -3, LAR rating 4.7.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to LV.
  • Predicted margin is LAR by 5.3.
  • Edge is 2.2 points toward LV.
  • Edge 2.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -7.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline ticket is LAR, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

LAR

FPI 4.7 · rank 2.831 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Wvs NYG 28-6 · Mon, Sep 21
  2. Lvs SF 27-7 · Thu, Sep 10
  3. W@ LAC 20-18 · Thu, Aug 27
  4. Wvs NO 34-0 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. W@ KC 20-12 · Sat, Aug 15

LV

FPI -3 · rank -3.231 · No nflverse EPA

  1. W@ LAC 26-14 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Wvs MIA 27-13 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. Lvs SF 18-12 · Thu, Aug 27
  4. W@ HOU 22-20 · Thu, Aug 20
  5. Lvs ARI 27-14 · Thu, Aug 13

Injuries

  • QuestionableTreydan Stukes · Las Vegas Raiders
  • QuestionableDarien Porter · Las Vegas Raiders
  • QuestionableNakobe Dean · Las Vegas Raiders
  • QuestionableBrock Bowers · Las Vegas Raiders
  • QuestionableFolorunso Fatukasi · Las Vegas Raiders
  • QuestionableKamren Kinchens · Los Angeles Rams
  • QuestionableNate Landman · Los Angeles Rams
  • QuestionableJordan Whittington · Los Angeles Rams
  • Injured ReserveRonnie Rivers · Los Angeles Rams
  • QuestionableColby Parkinson · Los Angeles Rams

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 2.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -7.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.