Sun, Oct 25 · 3:25pm CT · Allegiant Stadium · Las Vegas, NV · FOX · Indoor3:25pm CT
LAR
Los Angeles Rams · NFC West · 1-1 · Away
FPI 4.7 · rank 2.831 · No nflverse EPA
-7.5 (-110)
-345
LV
Las Vegas Raiders · AFC West · 2-0 · Home
FPI -3 · rank -3.231 · No nflverse EPA
+7.5 (-110)
+275
Allegiant Stadium is a dome. No weather in the number, and none on this card.Weather is not in the formula.
Market vs model
Spread
LAR -7.5
LV +7.5 (-110) LAR -7.5 (-110)
Model
LAR -5.3
Edge 2.2 pts LV Full ratings Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
LAR
LV +275 · LAR -345 Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.
Why
nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.
LV rating -3, LAR rating 4.7.
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Home field adds 2.4 to LV.
Predicted margin is LAR by 5.3.
Edge is 2.2 points toward LV.
Edge 2.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -7.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Moneyline ticket is LAR, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.
Recent form
LAR
FPI 4.7 · rank 2.831 · No nflverse EPA
Wvs NYG 28-6 · Mon, Sep 21
Lvs SF 27-7 · Thu, Sep 10
W@ LAC 20-18 · Thu, Aug 27
Wvs NO 34-0 · Sat, Aug 22
W@ KC 20-12 · Sat, Aug 15
LV
FPI -3 · rank -3.231 · No nflverse EPA
W@ LAC 26-14 · Sun, Sep 20
Wvs MIA 27-13 · Sun, Sep 13
Lvs SF 18-12 · Thu, Aug 27
W@ HOU 22-20 · Thu, Aug 20
Lvs ARI 27-14 · Thu, Aug 13
Injuries
QuestionableTreydan Stukes · Las Vegas Raiders
QuestionableDarien Porter · Las Vegas Raiders
QuestionableNakobe Dean · Las Vegas Raiders
QuestionableBrock Bowers · Las Vegas Raiders
QuestionableFolorunso Fatukasi · Las Vegas Raiders
QuestionableKamren Kinchens · Los Angeles Rams
QuestionableNate Landman · Los Angeles Rams
QuestionableJordan Whittington · Los Angeles Rams
Injured ReserveRonnie Rivers · Los Angeles Rams
QuestionableColby Parkinson · Los Angeles Rams
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.
Edge 2.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -7.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.