Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Sunday Slate
Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00pm CT · AT&T Stadium · Arlington, TX · FOX · Indoor12:00pm CT
ARI
Arizona Cardinals · NFC West · 1-1 · Away
FPI -5.1 · rank -2.419 · No nflverse EPA
+10.5 (-110)
+400
DAL
Dallas Cowboys · NFC East · 1-1 · Home
FPI 3.1 · rank 4.043 · No nflverse EPA
-10.5 (-110)
-535
AT&T Stadium is closed. Weather stays off this card.Weather is not in the formula.
Market vs model
Spread
DAL -10.5
DAL -10.5 (-110)
ARI +10.5 (-110)
ARI +10.5 (-110)
Model
DAL -10.6
Edge 0.1 pts DAL
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
DAL
DAL -535 · ARI +400
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.
- DAL rating 3.1, ARI rating -5.1.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
- Home field adds 2.4 to DAL.
- Predicted margin is DAL by 10.6.
- Edge is 0.1 points toward DAL.
- Edge 0.1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 8.2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
- Moneyline ticket is DAL, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.
Recent form
ARI
- Lvs SEA 31-7 · Sun, Sep 20
- W@ LAC 26-14 · Sun, Sep 13
- L@ GB 42-38 · Fri, Aug 28
- Lvs DAL 34-13 · Sat, Aug 22
- W@ LV 27-14 · Thu, Aug 13
DAL
- Wvs WSH 37-20 · Sun, Sep 20
- L@ NYG 28-20 · Sun, Sep 13
- Lvs NO 27-24 · Fri, Aug 28
- W@ ARI 34-13 · Sat, Aug 22
- W@ SEA 17-7 · Sat, Aug 15
Injuries
- DoubtfulMalik Hooker · Dallas Cowboys
- QuestionableDeMarvion Overshown · Dallas Cowboys
- OutCobie Durant · Dallas Cowboys
- OutP.J. Locke · Dallas Cowboys
- Injured ReserveMalik Davis · Dallas Cowboys
- QuestionableMax Melton · Arizona Cardinals
- QuestionableGarrett Williams · Arizona Cardinals
- QuestionableDadrion Taylor-Demerson · Arizona Cardinals
- QuestionableHjalte Froholdt · Arizona Cardinals
- QuestionableRoy Lopez · Arizona Cardinals
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.
Edge 0.1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 8.2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.