Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Nov 1 · 3:05pm CT · SoFi Stadium · Inglewood, CA · FOX3:05pm CT
LAC
Los Angeles Chargers · AFC West · 0-2 · Away
FPI -1.3 · rank -2.1 · No nflverse EPA
+4.5 (-115)
+164
LAR
Los Angeles Rams · NFC West · 1-1 · Home
FPI 4.7 · rank 2.831 · No nflverse EPA
-4.5 (-105)
-198
SoFi Stadium is a dome. No weather in the number, and none on this card.Weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
LAR -4.5
LAR -4.5 (-105)
LAC +4.5 (-115)
Model
LAR -8.3
Edge 3.8 pts LAR
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
LAR
LAR -198 · LAC +164
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • LAR rating 4.7, LAC rating -1.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to LAR.
  • Predicted margin is LAR by 8.3.
  • Edge is 3.8 points toward LAR.
  • Edge 3.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 5.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline ticket is LAR, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

LAC

FPI -1.3 · rank -2.1 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Lvs LV 26-14 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Lvs ARI 26-14 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. Lvs LAR 20-18 · Thu, Aug 27
  4. Lvs SF 41-17 · Thu, Aug 20
  5. W@ HOU 27-7 · Thu, Aug 13

LAR

FPI 4.7 · rank 2.831 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Wvs NYG 28-6 · Mon, Sep 21
  2. Lvs SF 27-7 · Thu, Sep 10
  3. W@ LAC 20-18 · Thu, Aug 27
  4. Wvs NO 34-0 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. W@ KC 20-12 · Sat, Aug 15

Injuries

  • QuestionableKamren Kinchens · Los Angeles Rams
  • QuestionableNate Landman · Los Angeles Rams
  • QuestionableJordan Whittington · Los Angeles Rams
  • Injured ReserveRonnie Rivers · Los Angeles Rams
  • QuestionableColby Parkinson · Los Angeles Rams
  • DoubtfulDalvin Tomlinson · Los Angeles Chargers
  • QuestionableElijah Molden · Los Angeles Chargers
  • QuestionableDerwin James Jr. · Los Angeles Chargers
  • QuestionableBrenen Thompson · Los Angeles Chargers
  • QuestionableTuli Tuipulotu · Los Angeles Chargers

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 3.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 5.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML