Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Nov 8 · 8:30am CT · Santiago Bernabéu · Madrid · NFL Net · Neutral · Indoor8:30am CT
CIN
Cincinnati Bengals · AFC North · 2-0 · Away
FPI 1.7 · rank 1.717 · No nflverse EPA
-5.5 (-110)
-230
ATL
Atlanta Falcons · NFC South · 0-2
FPI -5.2 · rank -4.52 · No nflverse EPA
+5.5 (-110)
+190
ESPN marks this building indoor. Weather stays off this card.Weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
CIN -5.5
ATL +5.5 (-110)
CIN -5.5 (-110)
Model
CIN -6.9
Edge 1.4 pts CIN
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
CIN
ATL +190 · CIN -230
Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • ATL rating -5.2, CIN rating 1.7.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Neutral site, so home field is 0.
  • Predicted margin is CIN by 6.9.
  • Edge is 1.4 points toward CIN.
  • Edge 1.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -6.9; neutral site (no home field)). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline ticket is CIN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

CIN

FPI 1.7 · rank 1.717 · No nflverse EPA

  1. W@ HOU 20-6 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Wvs TB 33-27 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. W@ PHI 30-13 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. Wvs CHI 27-9 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. Wvs DET 16-14 · Thu, Aug 13

ATL

FPI -5.2 · rank -4.52 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Lvs CAR 34-3 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. L@ PIT 20-13 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. W@ MIA 17-12 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. W@ IND 34-6 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. Lvs DEN 27-7 · Fri, Aug 14

Injuries

  • OutSamson Ebukam · Atlanta Falcons
  • QuestionableBilly Bowman Jr. · Atlanta Falcons
  • Injured ReserveA.J. Terrell Jr. · Atlanta Falcons
  • Injured ReserveDa'Shawn Hand · Atlanta Falcons
  • Injured ReserveCameron Williams · Atlanta Falcons
  • QuestionableJonathan Allen · Cincinnati Bengals
  • OutAndrei Iosivas · Cincinnati Bengals
  • QuestionableB.J. Hill · Cincinnati Bengals
  • Injured ReserveBrian Parker II · Cincinnati Bengals
  • Injured ReserveJa'Sir Taylor · Cincinnati Bengals

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 1.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -6.9; neutral site (no home field)). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML