Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

← The board
Sun, Nov 8 · 12:00pm CT · Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA · FOX12:00pm CT
NYG
New York Giants · NFC East · 1-1 · Away
FPI -6.6 · rank -4.993 · No nflverse EPA
+5.5 (-110)
+195
PHI
Philadelphia Eagles · NFC East · 2-0 · Home
FPI 1.5 · rank 0.641 · No nflverse EPA
-5.5 (-110)
-238
Lincoln Financial Field at kickoff: 50°F, wind 10 mph, gusts 22 mph, 11% chance of precip.Display only. The 2024–2025 check did not show wind moving the spread or the total past the closing number, so weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
PHI -5.5
PHI -5.5 (-110)
NYG +5.5 (-110)
Model
PHI -10.5
Edge 5 pts PHI
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
PHI
PHI -238 · NYG +195
Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • PHI rating 1.5, NYG rating -6.6.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to PHI.
  • Predicted margin is PHI by 10.5.
  • Edge is 5 points toward PHI.
  • Edge 5 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 8.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline ticket is PHI, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

NYG

FPI -6.6 · rank -4.993 · No nflverse EPA

  1. L@ LAR 28-6 · Mon, Sep 21
  2. Wvs DAL 28-20 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. W@ NYJ 23-6 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. W@ MIA 26-3 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. Lvs MIN 13-10 · Sat, Aug 15

PHI

FPI 1.5 · rank 0.641 · No nflverse EPA

  1. W@ TEN 24-20 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Wvs WSH 24-22 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. Lvs CIN 30-13 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. L@ NE 24-21 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. L@ BAL 24-7 · Sat, Aug 15

Injuries

  • QuestionableJonathan Greenard · Philadelphia Eagles
  • DoubtfulDallas Goedert · Philadelphia Eagles
  • QuestionableSaquon Barkley · Philadelphia Eagles
  • Injured ReserveLandon Dickerson · Philadelphia Eagles
  • Injured ReserveEli Stowers · Philadelphia Eagles
  • QuestionableAndrew Thomas · New York Giants
  • QuestionableDeonte Banks · New York Giants
  • QuestionableTyler Nubin · New York Giants
  • QuestionableBrian Burns · New York Giants
  • QuestionableShelby Harris · New York Giants

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.