Sun, Nov 8 · 12:00pm CT · Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA · FOX12:00pm CT
NYG
New York Giants · NFC East · 1-1 · Away
FPI -6.6 · rank -4.993 · No nflverse EPA
+5.5 (-110)
+195
PHI
Philadelphia Eagles · NFC East · 2-0 · Home
FPI 1.5 · rank 0.641 · No nflverse EPA
-5.5 (-110)
-238
Lincoln Financial Field at kickoff: 50°F, wind 10 mph, gusts 22 mph, 11% chance of precip.Display only. The 2024–2025 check did not show wind moving the spread or the total past the closing number, so weather is not in the formula.
Market vs model
Spread
PHI -5.5
PHI -5.5 (-110) NYG +5.5 (-110)
Model
PHI -10.5
Edge 5 pts PHI Full ratings Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
PHI
PHI -238 · NYG +195 Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean
Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.
Why
nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.
PHI rating 1.5, NYG rating -6.6.
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Home field adds 2.4 to PHI.
Predicted margin is PHI by 10.5.
Edge is 5 points toward PHI.
Edge 5 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 8.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Moneyline ticket is PHI, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.
Recent form
NYG
FPI -6.6 · rank -4.993 · No nflverse EPA
L@ LAR 28-6 · Mon, Sep 21
Wvs DAL 28-20 · Sun, Sep 13
W@ NYJ 23-6 · Fri, Aug 28
W@ MIA 26-3 · Sat, Aug 22
Lvs MIN 13-10 · Sat, Aug 15
PHI
FPI 1.5 · rank 0.641 · No nflverse EPA
W@ TEN 24-20 · Sun, Sep 20
Wvs WSH 24-22 · Sun, Sep 13
Lvs CIN 30-13 · Fri, Aug 28
L@ NE 24-21 · Sat, Aug 22
L@ BAL 24-7 · Sat, Aug 15
Injuries
QuestionableJonathan Greenard · Philadelphia Eagles
DoubtfulDallas Goedert · Philadelphia Eagles
QuestionableSaquon Barkley · Philadelphia Eagles
Injured ReserveLandon Dickerson · Philadelphia Eagles
Injured ReserveEli Stowers · Philadelphia Eagles
QuestionableAndrew Thomas · New York Giants
QuestionableDeonte Banks · New York Giants
QuestionableTyler Nubin · New York Giants
QuestionableBrian Burns · New York Giants
QuestionableShelby Harris · New York Giants
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.