Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Sunday Slate
Sun, Nov 8 · 3:25pm CT · Lumen Field · Seattle, WA · FOX3:25pm CT
ARI
Arizona Cardinals · NFC West · 1-1 · Away
FPI -5.1 · rank -2.419 · No nflverse EPA
+13.5 (-110)
+550
SEA
Seattle Seahawks · NFC West · 2-0 · Home
FPI 2.8 · rank -0.492 · No nflverse EPA
-13.5 (-110)
-800
Lumen Field at kickoff: 62°F, wind 7 mph, gusts 19 mph, 18% chance of precip.Display only. The 2024–2025 check did not show wind moving the spread or the total past the closing number, so weather is not in the formula.
Market vs model
Spread
SEA -13.5
SEA -13.5 (-110)
ARI +13.5 (-110)
ARI +13.5 (-110)
Model
SEA -10.3
Edge 3.2 pts ARI
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
SEA
SEA -800 · ARI +550
Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.
- SEA rating 2.8, ARI rating -5.1.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
- Home field adds 2.4 to SEA.
- Predicted margin is SEA by 10.3.
- Edge is 3.2 points toward ARI.
- Edge 3.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 7.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
- Moneyline ticket is SEA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.
Recent form
ARI
- Lvs SEA 31-7 · Sun, Sep 20
- W@ LAC 26-14 · Sun, Sep 13
- L@ GB 42-38 · Fri, Aug 28
- Lvs DAL 34-13 · Sat, Aug 22
- W@ LV 27-14 · Thu, Aug 13
SEA
- W@ ARI 31-7 · Sun, Sep 20
- Wvs NE 13-10 · Wed, Sep 9
- T@ KC 9-9 · Fri, Aug 28
- L@ TEN 19-16 · Sun, Aug 23
- Lvs DAL 17-7 · Sat, Aug 15
Injuries
- QuestionableTy Okada · Seattle Seahawks
- QuestionableErnest Jones IV · Seattle Seahawks
- Injured ReserveAnthony Bradford · Seattle Seahawks
- QuestionableCooper Kupp · Seattle Seahawks
- QuestionableGeorge Holani · Seattle Seahawks
- QuestionableMax Melton · Arizona Cardinals
- QuestionableGarrett Williams · Arizona Cardinals
- QuestionableDadrion Taylor-Demerson · Arizona Cardinals
- QuestionableHjalte Froholdt · Arizona Cardinals
- QuestionableRoy Lopez · Arizona Cardinals
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.
Edge 3.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 7.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.