Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Sunday Slate
Sun, Nov 15 · 12:00pm CT · Lambeau Field · Green Bay, WI · FOX12:00pm CT
MIN
Minnesota Vikings · NFC North · 2-0 · Away
FPI 1.5 · rank -1.31 · No nflverse EPA
+4.5 (-110)
+200
GB
Green Bay Packers · NFC North · 1-1 · Home
FPI 0.5 · rank 0.913 · No nflverse EPA
-4.5 (-110)
-245
Lambeau Field at kickoff: 42°F, wind 12 mph, gusts 23 mph, 18% chance of precip.Display only. The 2024–2025 check did not show wind moving the spread or the total past the closing number, so weather is not in the formula.
Market vs model
Spread
GB -4.5
GB -4.5 (-110)
MIN +4.5 (-110)
MIN +4.5 (-110)
Model
GB -1.5
Edge 3 pts MIN
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
Pass
GB -245 · MIN +200
Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.
- GB rating 0.5, MIN rating 1.5.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
- Home field adds 2.4 to GB.
- Predicted margin is GB by 1.5.
- Edge is 3 points toward MIN.
- Edge 3 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -0.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
- Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
- No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.
Recent form
MIN
- W@ CHI 9-3 · Sun, Sep 20
- Wvs GB 39-22 · Sun, Sep 13
- L@ DEN 34-6 · Fri, Aug 28
- Lvs BAL 13-3 · Sat, Aug 22
- W@ NYG 13-10 · Sat, Aug 15
GB
- W@ NYJ 20-17 OT · Sun, Sep 20
- L@ MIN 39-22 · Sun, Sep 13
- Wvs ARI 42-38 · Fri, Aug 28
- W@ DEN 33-13 · Fri, Aug 21
- L@ PIT 28-9 · Thu, Aug 13
Injuries
- OutAaron Banks · Green Bay Packers
- OutWarren Brinson · Green Bay Packers
- QuestionableJavon Hargrave · Green Bay Packers
- OutJayden Reed · Green Bay Packers
- OutZach Bako-Bewele · Green Bay Packers
- QuestionableDeeJay Dallas · Minnesota Vikings
- QuestionableJalen Redmond · Minnesota Vikings
- QuestionableNick Samac · Minnesota Vikings
- QuestionableBrian O'Neill · Minnesota Vikings
- QuestionableJake Golday · Minnesota Vikings
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.
Edge 3 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -0.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.