Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Nov 15 · 3:05pm CT · State Farm Stadium · Glendale, AZ · CBS · Indoor3:05pm CT
LAR
Los Angeles Rams · NFC West · 1-1 · Away
FPI 4.7 · rank 2.831 · No nflverse EPA
-10.5 (-110)
-470
ARI
Arizona Cardinals · NFC West · 1-1 · Home
FPI -5.1 · rank -2.419 · No nflverse EPA
+10.5 (-110)
+360
State Farm Stadium is closed. Weather stays off this card.Weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
LAR -10.5
ARI +10.5 (-110)
LAR -10.5 (-110)
Model
LAR -7.4
Edge 3.1 pts ARI
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
LAR
ARI +360 · LAR -470
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • ARI rating -5.1, LAR rating 4.7.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to ARI.
  • Predicted margin is LAR by 7.4.
  • Edge is 3.1 points toward ARI.
  • Edge 3.1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -9.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline ticket is LAR, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

LAR

FPI 4.7 · rank 2.831 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Wvs NYG 28-6 · Mon, Sep 21
  2. Lvs SF 27-7 · Thu, Sep 10
  3. W@ LAC 20-18 · Thu, Aug 27
  4. Wvs NO 34-0 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. W@ KC 20-12 · Sat, Aug 15

ARI

FPI -5.1 · rank -2.419 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Lvs SEA 31-7 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. W@ LAC 26-14 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. L@ GB 42-38 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. Lvs DAL 34-13 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. W@ LV 27-14 · Thu, Aug 13

Injuries

  • QuestionableMax Melton · Arizona Cardinals
  • QuestionableGarrett Williams · Arizona Cardinals
  • QuestionableDadrion Taylor-Demerson · Arizona Cardinals
  • QuestionableHjalte Froholdt · Arizona Cardinals
  • QuestionableRoy Lopez · Arizona Cardinals
  • QuestionableKamren Kinchens · Los Angeles Rams
  • QuestionableNate Landman · Los Angeles Rams
  • QuestionableJordan Whittington · Los Angeles Rams
  • Injured ReserveRonnie Rivers · Los Angeles Rams
  • QuestionableColby Parkinson · Los Angeles Rams

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 3.1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -9.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML