Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Nov 15 · 3:25pm CT · AT&T Stadium · Arlington, TX · FOX · Indoor3:25pm CT
SF
San Francisco 49ers · NFC West · 2-0 · Away
FPI 7.3 · rank 6.041 · No nflverse EPA
+1.5 (-115)
+100
DAL
Dallas Cowboys · NFC East · 1-1 · Home
FPI 3.1 · rank 4.043 · No nflverse EPA
-1.5 (-105)
-120
AT&T Stadium is closed. Weather stays off this card.Weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
DAL -1.5
DAL -1.5 (-105)
SF +1.5 (-115)
Model
SF -1.9
Edge 3.4 pts SF
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
Pass
DAL -120 · SF +100
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • DAL rating 3.1, SF rating 7.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to DAL.
  • Predicted margin is SF by 1.9.
  • Edge is 3.4 points toward SF.
  • Edge 3.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -4.3; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

SF

FPI 7.3 · rank 6.041 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Wvs MIA 35-13 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Wvs LAR 27-7 · Thu, Sep 10
  3. W@ LV 18-12 · Thu, Aug 27
  4. W@ LAC 41-17 · Thu, Aug 20
  5. Lvs TEN 19-13 · Thu, Aug 13

DAL

FPI 3.1 · rank 4.043 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Wvs WSH 37-20 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. L@ NYG 28-20 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. Lvs NO 27-24 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. W@ ARI 34-13 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. W@ SEA 17-7 · Sat, Aug 15

Injuries

  • DoubtfulMalik Hooker · Dallas Cowboys
  • QuestionableDeMarvion Overshown · Dallas Cowboys
  • OutCobie Durant · Dallas Cowboys
  • OutP.J. Locke · Dallas Cowboys
  • Injured ReserveMalik Davis · Dallas Cowboys
  • Injured ReserveC.J. West · San Francisco 49ers
  • QuestionableMike Evans · San Francisco 49ers
  • QuestionableRomello Height · San Francisco 49ers
  • DoubtfulJames Thompson Jr. · San Francisco 49ers
  • OutDemarcus Robinson · San Francisco 49ers

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 3.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -4.3; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.