Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Sunday Slate
Sun, Nov 22 · 3:05pm CT · SoFi Stadium · Inglewood, CA · FOX3:05pm CT
NYJ
New York Jets · AFC East · 1-1 · Away
FPI -3.3 · rank -2.733 · No nflverse EPA
+9.5 (-110)
+330
LAC
Los Angeles Chargers · AFC West · 0-2 · Home
FPI -1.3 · rank -2.1 · No nflverse EPA
-9.5 (-110)
-425
SoFi Stadium is a dome. No weather in the number, and none on this card.Weather is not in the formula.
Market vs model
Spread
LAC -9.5
LAC -9.5 (-110)
NYJ +9.5 (-110)
NYJ +9.5 (-110)
Model
LAC -4.4
Edge 5.1 pts NYJ
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
LAC
LAC -425 · NYJ +330
Total 41.5 — no O/U pick
Total 41.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean
Why
nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.
- LAC rating -1.3, NYJ rating -3.3.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
- Home field adds 2.4 to LAC.
- Predicted margin is LAC by 4.4.
- Edge is 5.1 points toward NYJ.
- Edge 5.1 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
- Moneyline ticket is LAC, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.
Recent form
NYJ
- Lvs GB 20-17 OT · Sun, Sep 20
- W@ TEN 23-10 · Sun, Sep 13
- Lvs NYG 23-6 · Fri, Aug 28
- W@ PIT 17-0 · Fri, Aug 21
- Lvs TB 24-16 · Fri, Aug 14
LAC
- Lvs LV 26-14 · Sun, Sep 20
- Lvs ARI 26-14 · Sun, Sep 13
- Lvs LAR 20-18 · Thu, Aug 27
- Lvs SF 41-17 · Thu, Aug 20
- W@ HOU 27-7 · Thu, Aug 13
Injuries
- DoubtfulDalvin Tomlinson · Los Angeles Chargers
- QuestionableElijah Molden · Los Angeles Chargers
- QuestionableDerwin James Jr. · Los Angeles Chargers
- QuestionableBrenen Thompson · Los Angeles Chargers
- QuestionableTuli Tuipulotu · Los Angeles Chargers
- QuestionableKene Nwangwu · New York Jets
- QuestionableMinkah Fitzpatrick · New York Jets
- QuestionableJoseph Ossai · New York Jets
- Injured ReserveArian Smith · New York Jets
- Injured ReserveDavid Onyemata · New York Jets
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.