Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Nov 22 · 3:25pm CT · Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA · CBS3:25pm CT
PIT
Pittsburgh Steelers · AFC North · 1-1 · Away
FPI -2.8 · rank -3.731 · No nflverse EPA
+5.5 (-110)
+195
PHI
Philadelphia Eagles · NFC East · 2-0 · Home
FPI 1.5 · rank 0.641 · No nflverse EPA
-5.5 (-110)
-238
Lincoln Financial Field at kickoff: 50°F, wind 10 mph, gusts 22 mph, 11% chance of precip.Display only. The 2024–2025 check did not show wind moving the spread or the total past the closing number, so weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
PHI -5.5
PHI -5.5 (-110)
PIT +5.5 (-110)
Model
PHI -6.7
Edge 1.2 pts PHI
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
PHI
PHI -238 · PIT +195
Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • PHI rating 1.5, PIT rating -2.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to PHI.
  • Predicted margin is PHI by 6.7.
  • Edge is 1.2 points toward PHI.
  • Edge 1.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 4.3; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline ticket is PHI, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

PIT

FPI -2.8 · rank -3.731 · No nflverse EPA

  1. L@ NE 20-3 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Wvs ATL 20-13 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. L@ BUF 28-27 · Thu, Aug 27
  4. Lvs NYJ 17-0 · Fri, Aug 21
  5. Wvs GB 28-9 · Thu, Aug 13

PHI

FPI 1.5 · rank 0.641 · No nflverse EPA

  1. W@ TEN 24-20 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Wvs WSH 24-22 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. Lvs CIN 30-13 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. L@ NE 24-21 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. L@ BAL 24-7 · Sat, Aug 15

Injuries

  • QuestionableJonathan Greenard · Philadelphia Eagles
  • DoubtfulDallas Goedert · Philadelphia Eagles
  • QuestionableSaquon Barkley · Philadelphia Eagles
  • Injured ReserveLandon Dickerson · Philadelphia Eagles
  • Injured ReserveEli Stowers · Philadelphia Eagles
  • QuestionableJamel Dean · Pittsburgh Steelers
  • QuestionableJoey Porter Jr. · Pittsburgh Steelers
  • QuestionableMichael Pittman Jr. · Pittsburgh Steelers
  • QuestionableJaylen Warren · Pittsburgh Steelers
  • QuestionableRico Dowdle · Pittsburgh Steelers

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 1.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 4.3; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML