Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Nov 22 · 7:20pm CT · Estadio Banorte · Mexico City · NBC · Neutral7:20pm CT
MIN
Minnesota Vikings · NFC North · 2-0 · Away
FPI 1.5 · rank -1.31 · No nflverse EPA
+3.5 (-110)
+160
SF
San Francisco 49ers · NFC West · 2-0
FPI 7.3 · rank 6.041 · No nflverse EPA
-3.5 (-110)
-192
No stadium coordinates on file, so weather stays off this card. It is not in the number either way.Weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
SF -3.5
SF -3.5 (-110)
MIN +3.5 (-110)
Model
SF -5.9
Edge 2.4 pts SF
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
SF
SF -192 · MIN +160
Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • SF rating 7.3, MIN rating 1.5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Neutral site, so home field is 0.
  • Predicted margin is SF by 5.9.
  • Edge is 2.4 points toward SF.
  • Edge 2.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 5.9; neutral site (no home field)). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline ticket is SF, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

MIN

FPI 1.5 · rank -1.31 · No nflverse EPA

  1. W@ CHI 9-3 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Wvs GB 39-22 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. L@ DEN 34-6 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. Lvs BAL 13-3 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. W@ NYG 13-10 · Sat, Aug 15

SF

FPI 7.3 · rank 6.041 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Wvs MIA 35-13 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Wvs LAR 27-7 · Thu, Sep 10
  3. W@ LV 18-12 · Thu, Aug 27
  4. W@ LAC 41-17 · Thu, Aug 20
  5. Lvs TEN 19-13 · Thu, Aug 13

Injuries

  • Injured ReserveC.J. West · San Francisco 49ers
  • QuestionableMike Evans · San Francisco 49ers
  • QuestionableRomello Height · San Francisco 49ers
  • DoubtfulJames Thompson Jr. · San Francisco 49ers
  • OutDemarcus Robinson · San Francisco 49ers
  • QuestionableDeeJay Dallas · Minnesota Vikings
  • QuestionableJalen Redmond · Minnesota Vikings
  • QuestionableNick Samac · Minnesota Vikings
  • QuestionableBrian O'Neill · Minnesota Vikings
  • QuestionableJake Golday · Minnesota Vikings

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 2.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 5.9; neutral site (no home field)). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML