Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
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Wed, Nov 25 · 7:00pm CT · SoFi Stadium · Inglewood, CA · Netflix7:00pm CT
GB
Green Bay Packers · NFC North · 1-1 · Away
FPI 0.5 · rank 0.913 · No nflverse EPA
+4.5 (-105)
+185
LAR
Los Angeles Rams · NFC West · 1-1 · Home
FPI 4.7 · rank 2.831 · No nflverse EPA
-4.5 (-115)
-225
SoFi Stadium is a dome. No weather in the number, and none on this card.Weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
LAR -4.5
LAR -4.5 (-115)
GB +4.5 (-105)
Model
LAR -6.6
Edge 2.1 pts LAR
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
LAR
LAR -225 · GB +185
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • LAR rating 4.7, GB rating 0.5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to LAR.
  • Predicted margin is LAR by 6.6.
  • Edge is 2.1 points toward LAR.
  • Edge 2.1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 4.2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline ticket is LAR, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

GB

FPI 0.5 · rank 0.913 · No nflverse EPA

  1. W@ NYJ 20-17 OT · Sun, Sep 20
  2. L@ MIN 39-22 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. Wvs ARI 42-38 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. W@ DEN 33-13 · Fri, Aug 21
  5. L@ PIT 28-9 · Thu, Aug 13

LAR

FPI 4.7 · rank 2.831 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Wvs NYG 28-6 · Mon, Sep 21
  2. Lvs SF 27-7 · Thu, Sep 10
  3. W@ LAC 20-18 · Thu, Aug 27
  4. Wvs NO 34-0 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. W@ KC 20-12 · Sat, Aug 15

Injuries

  • QuestionableKamren Kinchens · Los Angeles Rams
  • QuestionableNate Landman · Los Angeles Rams
  • QuestionableJordan Whittington · Los Angeles Rams
  • Injured ReserveRonnie Rivers · Los Angeles Rams
  • QuestionableColby Parkinson · Los Angeles Rams
  • OutAaron Banks · Green Bay Packers
  • OutWarren Brinson · Green Bay Packers
  • QuestionableJavon Hargrave · Green Bay Packers
  • OutJayden Reed · Green Bay Packers
  • OutZach Bako-Bewele · Green Bay Packers

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 2.1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 4.2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML