Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Sunday Slate
Thu, Nov 26 · 3:30pm CT · AT&T Stadium · Arlington, TX · FOX · Indoor3:30pm CT
PHI
Philadelphia Eagles · NFC East · 2-0 · Away
FPI 1.5 · rank 0.641 · No nflverse EPA
+1.5 (-110)
+105
DAL
Dallas Cowboys · NFC East · 1-1 · Home
FPI 3.1 · rank 4.043 · No nflverse EPA
-1.5 (-110)
-125
AT&T Stadium is closed. Weather stays off this card.Weather is not in the formula.
Market vs model
Spread
DAL -1.5
DAL -1.5 (-110)
PHI +1.5 (-110)
PHI +1.5 (-110)
Model
DAL -4
Edge 2.5 pts DAL
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
DAL
DAL -125 · PHI +105
Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.
- DAL rating 3.1, PHI rating 1.5.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
- Home field adds 2.4 to DAL.
- Predicted margin is DAL by 4.
- Edge is 2.5 points toward DAL.
- Edge 2.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 1.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
- Moneyline ticket is DAL, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.
Recent form
PHI
- W@ TEN 24-20 · Sun, Sep 20
- Wvs WSH 24-22 · Sun, Sep 13
- Lvs CIN 30-13 · Fri, Aug 28
- L@ NE 24-21 · Sat, Aug 22
- L@ BAL 24-7 · Sat, Aug 15
DAL
- Wvs WSH 37-20 · Sun, Sep 20
- L@ NYG 28-20 · Sun, Sep 13
- Lvs NO 27-24 · Fri, Aug 28
- W@ ARI 34-13 · Sat, Aug 22
- W@ SEA 17-7 · Sat, Aug 15
Injuries
- DoubtfulMalik Hooker · Dallas Cowboys
- QuestionableDeMarvion Overshown · Dallas Cowboys
- OutCobie Durant · Dallas Cowboys
- OutP.J. Locke · Dallas Cowboys
- Injured ReserveMalik Davis · Dallas Cowboys
- QuestionableJonathan Greenard · Philadelphia Eagles
- DoubtfulDallas Goedert · Philadelphia Eagles
- QuestionableSaquon Barkley · Philadelphia Eagles
- Injured ReserveLandon Dickerson · Philadelphia Eagles
- Injured ReserveEli Stowers · Philadelphia Eagles
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.
Edge 2.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 1.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.