Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Nov 29 · 12:00pm CT · U.S. Bank Stadium · Minneapolis, MN · FOX · Indoor12:00pm CT
ATL
Atlanta Falcons · NFC South · 0-2 · Away
FPI -5.2 · rank -4.52 · No nflverse EPA
+4.5 (-110)
+180
MIN
Minnesota Vikings · NFC North · 2-0 · Home
FPI 1.5 · rank -1.31 · No nflverse EPA
-4.5 (-110)
-218
U.S. Bank Stadium is a dome. No weather in the number, and none on this card.Weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
MIN -4.5
MIN -4.5 (-110)
ATL +4.5 (-110)
Model
MIN -9.1
Edge 4.6 pts MIN
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
MIN
MIN -218 · ATL +180
Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • MIN rating 1.5, ATL rating -5.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to MIN.
  • Predicted margin is MIN by 9.1.
  • Edge is 4.6 points toward MIN.
  • Edge 4.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 6.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline ticket is MIN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

ATL

FPI -5.2 · rank -4.52 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Lvs CAR 34-3 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. L@ PIT 20-13 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. W@ MIA 17-12 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. W@ IND 34-6 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. Lvs DEN 27-7 · Fri, Aug 14

MIN

FPI 1.5 · rank -1.31 · No nflverse EPA

  1. W@ CHI 9-3 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Wvs GB 39-22 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. L@ DEN 34-6 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. Lvs BAL 13-3 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. W@ NYG 13-10 · Sat, Aug 15

Injuries

  • QuestionableDeeJay Dallas · Minnesota Vikings
  • QuestionableJalen Redmond · Minnesota Vikings
  • QuestionableNick Samac · Minnesota Vikings
  • QuestionableBrian O'Neill · Minnesota Vikings
  • QuestionableJake Golday · Minnesota Vikings
  • OutSamson Ebukam · Atlanta Falcons
  • QuestionableBilly Bowman Jr. · Atlanta Falcons
  • Injured ReserveA.J. Terrell Jr. · Atlanta Falcons
  • Injured ReserveDa'Shawn Hand · Atlanta Falcons
  • Injured ReserveCameron Williams · Atlanta Falcons

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 4.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 6.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML