Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Nov 29 · 12:00pm CT · Huntington Bank Field · Cleveland, OH · FOX12:00pm CT
LV
Las Vegas Raiders · AFC West · 2-0 · Away
FPI -3 · rank -3.231 · No nflverse EPA
+1.5 (-110)
+102
CLE
Cleveland Browns · AFC North · 1-1 · Home
FPI -6.2 · rank -5.752 · No nflverse EPA
-1.5 (-110)
-122
Huntington Bank Field at kickoff: 46°F, wind 19 mph, gusts 25 mph, 16% chance of precip.Display only. The 2024–2025 check did not show wind moving the spread or the total past the closing number, so weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
CLE -1.5
CLE -1.5 (-110)
LV +1.5 (-110)
Model
LV -0.8
Edge 2.3 pts LV
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
Pass
CLE -122 · LV +102
Total 39.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • CLE rating -6.2, LV rating -3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to CLE.
  • Predicted margin is LV by 0.8.
  • Edge is 2.3 points toward LV.
  • Edge 2.3 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -3.2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

LV

FPI -3 · rank -3.231 · No nflverse EPA

  1. W@ LAC 26-14 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Wvs MIA 27-13 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. Lvs SF 18-12 · Thu, Aug 27
  4. W@ HOU 22-20 · Thu, Aug 20
  5. Lvs ARI 27-14 · Thu, Aug 13

CLE

FPI -6.2 · rank -5.752 · No nflverse EPA

  1. W@ TB 23-19 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. L@ JAX 34-10 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. Wvs NE 37-13 · Thu, Aug 27
  4. Lvs BUF 31-7 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. L@ CHI 34-10 · Sat, Aug 15

Injuries

  • QuestionableTyson Campbell · Cleveland Browns
  • QuestionableQuincy Williams · Cleveland Browns
  • QuestionableTytus Howard · Cleveland Browns
  • QuestionableMason Graham · Cleveland Browns
  • QuestionableGrant Delpit · Cleveland Browns
  • QuestionableTreydan Stukes · Las Vegas Raiders
  • QuestionableDarien Porter · Las Vegas Raiders
  • QuestionableNakobe Dean · Las Vegas Raiders
  • QuestionableBrock Bowers · Las Vegas Raiders
  • QuestionableFolorunso Fatukasi · Las Vegas Raiders

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 2.3 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -3.2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.