Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Sunday Slate
Sun, Nov 29 · 12:00pm CT · Lucas Oil Stadium · Indianapolis, IN · FOX · Indoor12:00pm CT
NYG
New York Giants · NFC East · 1-1 · Away
FPI -6.6 · rank -4.993 · No nflverse EPA
+2.5 (-110)
+114
IND
Indianapolis Colts · AFC South · 0-2 · Home
FPI -1.1 · rank 0.301 · No nflverse EPA
-2.5 (-110)
-135
Lucas Oil Stadium is a dome. No weather in the number, and none on this card.Weather is not in the formula.
Market vs model
Spread
IND -2.5
IND -2.5 (-110)
NYG +2.5 (-110)
NYG +2.5 (-110)
Model
IND -7.9
Edge 5.4 pts IND
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
IND
IND -135 · NYG +114
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean
Why
nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.
- IND rating -1.1, NYG rating -6.6.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
- Home field adds 2.4 to IND.
- Predicted margin is IND by 7.9.
- Edge is 5.4 points toward IND.
- Edge 5.4 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 5.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
- Moneyline ticket is IND, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.
Recent form
NYG
- L@ LAR 28-6 · Mon, Sep 21
- Wvs DAL 28-20 · Sun, Sep 13
- W@ NYJ 23-6 · Fri, Aug 28
- W@ MIA 26-3 · Sat, Aug 22
- Lvs MIN 13-10 · Sat, Aug 15
IND
- L@ KC 33-30 OT · Sun, Sep 20
- Lvs BAL 41-23 · Sun, Sep 13
- Lvs DET 25-16 · Sat, Aug 29
- Lvs ATL 34-6 · Sat, Aug 22
- T@ NE 13-13 · Thu, Aug 13
Injuries
- QuestionableAshton Dulin · Indianapolis Colts
- QuestionableCharvarius Ward · Indianapolis Colts
- OutAlec Pierce · Indianapolis Colts
- Injured ReserveMicheal Clemons · Indianapolis Colts
- Injured ReserveCarson Towt · Indianapolis Colts
- QuestionableAndrew Thomas · New York Giants
- QuestionableDeonte Banks · New York Giants
- QuestionableTyler Nubin · New York Giants
- QuestionableBrian Burns · New York Giants
- QuestionableShelby Harris · New York Giants
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.