Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Nov 29 · 3:25pm CT · State Farm Stadium · Glendale, AZ · FOX · Indoor3:25pm CT
WSH
Washington Commanders · NFC East · 0-2 · Away
FPI -3.2 · rank -1.419 · No nflverse EPA
-4.5 (-110)
-218
ARI
Arizona Cardinals · NFC West · 1-1 · Home
FPI -5.1 · rank -2.419 · No nflverse EPA
+4.5 (-110)
+180
State Farm Stadium is closed. Weather stays off this card.Weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
WSH -4.5
ARI +4.5 (-110)
WSH -4.5 (-110)
Model
ARI -0.4
Edge 4.9 pts ARI
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
Pass
ARI +180 · WSH -218
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • ARI rating -5.1, WSH rating -3.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to ARI.
  • Predicted margin is ARI by 0.4.
  • Edge is 4.9 points toward ARI.
  • Edge 4.9 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

WSH

FPI -3.2 · rank -1.419 · No nflverse EPA

  1. L@ DAL 37-20 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. L@ PHI 24-22 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. L@ BAL 41-3 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. L@ DET 17-13 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. Wvs MIA 20-7 · Fri, Aug 14

ARI

FPI -5.1 · rank -2.419 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Lvs SEA 31-7 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. W@ LAC 26-14 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. L@ GB 42-38 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. Lvs DAL 34-13 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. W@ LV 27-14 · Thu, Aug 13

Injuries

  • QuestionableMax Melton · Arizona Cardinals
  • QuestionableGarrett Williams · Arizona Cardinals
  • QuestionableDadrion Taylor-Demerson · Arizona Cardinals
  • QuestionableHjalte Froholdt · Arizona Cardinals
  • QuestionableRoy Lopez · Arizona Cardinals
  • QuestionableJeremy Reaves · Washington Commanders
  • QuestionableLeo Chenal · Washington Commanders
  • QuestionableFrankie Luvu · Washington Commanders
  • QuestionableCharles Omenihu · Washington Commanders
  • QuestionableTyler Owens · Washington Commanders

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 4.9 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.