Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Thu, Dec 3 · 7:15pm CT · SoFi Stadium · Inglewood, CA · Prime Video7:15pm CT
KC
Kansas City Chiefs · AFC West · 2-0 · Away
FPI 4.5 · rank 2.961 · No nflverse EPA
+3.5 (-105)
+170
LAR
Los Angeles Rams · NFC West · 1-1 · Home
FPI 4.7 · rank 2.831 · No nflverse EPA
-3.5 (-115)
-205
SoFi Stadium is a dome. No weather in the number, and none on this card.Weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
LAR -3.5
LAR -3.5 (-115)
KC +3.5 (-105)
Model
LAR -2.6
Edge 0.9 pts KC
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
LAR
LAR -205 · KC +170
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • LAR rating 4.7, KC rating 4.5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to LAR.
  • Predicted margin is LAR by 2.6.
  • Edge is 0.9 points toward KC.
  • Edge 0.9 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 0.2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline ticket is LAR, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

KC

FPI 4.5 · rank 2.961 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Wvs IND 33-30 OT · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Wvs DEN 31-10 · Mon, Sep 14
  3. Tvs SEA 9-9 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. L@ TB 16-15 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. Lvs LAR 20-12 · Sat, Aug 15

LAR

FPI 4.7 · rank 2.831 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Wvs NYG 28-6 · Mon, Sep 21
  2. Lvs SF 27-7 · Thu, Sep 10
  3. W@ LAC 20-18 · Thu, Aug 27
  4. Wvs NO 34-0 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. W@ KC 20-12 · Sat, Aug 15

Injuries

  • QuestionableKamren Kinchens · Los Angeles Rams
  • QuestionableNate Landman · Los Angeles Rams
  • QuestionableJordan Whittington · Los Angeles Rams
  • Injured ReserveRonnie Rivers · Los Angeles Rams
  • QuestionableColby Parkinson · Los Angeles Rams
  • QuestionableL'Jarius Sneed · Kansas City Chiefs
  • QuestionableChris Jones · Kansas City Chiefs
  • QuestionableFelix Anudike-Uzomah · Kansas City Chiefs
  • Injured ReserveCooper McDonald · Kansas City Chiefs
  • OutOmarr Norman-Lott · Kansas City Chiefs

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 0.9 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 0.2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML