Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Dec 6 · 3:25pm CT · U.S. Bank Stadium · Minneapolis, MN · CBS · Indoor3:25pm CT
CAR
Carolina Panthers · NFC South · 1-1 · Away
FPI -1.4 · rank -0.828 · No nflverse EPA
+3.5 (-110)
+164
MIN
Minnesota Vikings · NFC North · 2-0 · Home
FPI 1.5 · rank -1.31 · No nflverse EPA
-3.5 (-110)
-198
U.S. Bank Stadium is a dome. No weather in the number, and none on this card.Weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
MIN -3.5
MIN -3.5 (-110)
CAR +3.5 (-110)
Model
MIN -5.3
Edge 1.8 pts MIN
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
MIN
MIN -198 · CAR +164
Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • MIN rating 1.5, CAR rating -1.4.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to MIN.
  • Predicted margin is MIN by 5.3.
  • Edge is 1.8 points toward MIN.
  • Edge 1.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 2.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline ticket is MIN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

CAR

FPI -1.4 · rank -0.828 · No nflverse EPA

  1. W@ ATL 34-3 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Lvs CHI 59-37 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. Wvs HOU 16-13 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. W@ JAX 34-17 · Fri, Aug 21
  5. L@ BUF 29-14 · Sat, Aug 15

MIN

FPI 1.5 · rank -1.31 · No nflverse EPA

  1. W@ CHI 9-3 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Wvs GB 39-22 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. L@ DEN 34-6 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. Lvs BAL 13-3 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. W@ NYG 13-10 · Sat, Aug 15

Injuries

  • QuestionableDeeJay Dallas · Minnesota Vikings
  • QuestionableJalen Redmond · Minnesota Vikings
  • QuestionableNick Samac · Minnesota Vikings
  • QuestionableBrian O'Neill · Minnesota Vikings
  • QuestionableJake Golday · Minnesota Vikings
  • QuestionableJaelan Phillips · Carolina Panthers
  • QuestionableNick Scott · Carolina Panthers
  • QuestionableDevin Lloyd · Carolina Panthers
  • QuestionableJalen Coker · Carolina Panthers
  • Injured ReserveJonathon Brooks · Carolina Panthers

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 1.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 2.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML