Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Dec 13 · 12:00pm CT · Northwest Stadium · Landover, MD · CBS12:00pm CT
HOU
Houston Texans · AFC South · 0-2 · Away
FPI 0.9 · rank -0.982 · No nflverse EPA
-1.5 (-110)
-122
WSH
Washington Commanders · NFC East · 0-2 · Home
FPI -3.2 · rank -1.419 · No nflverse EPA
+1.5 (-110)
+102
Northwest Stadium at kickoff: 49°F, wind 11 mph, gusts 24 mph, 11% chance of precip.Display only. The 2024–2025 check did not show wind moving the spread or the total past the closing number, so weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
HOU -1.5
WSH +1.5 (-110)
HOU -1.5 (-110)
Model
HOU -1.7
Edge 0.2 pts HOU
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
Pass
WSH +102 · HOU -122
Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • WSH rating -3.2, HOU rating 0.9.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to WSH.
  • Predicted margin is HOU by 1.7.
  • Edge is 0.2 points toward HOU.
  • Edge 0.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -4.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

HOU

FPI 0.9 · rank -0.982 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Lvs CIN 20-6 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Lvs BUF 36-31 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. L@ CAR 16-13 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. Lvs LV 22-20 · Thu, Aug 20
  5. Lvs LAC 27-7 · Thu, Aug 13

WSH

FPI -3.2 · rank -1.419 · No nflverse EPA

  1. L@ DAL 37-20 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. L@ PHI 24-22 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. L@ BAL 41-3 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. L@ DET 17-13 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. Wvs MIA 20-7 · Fri, Aug 14

Injuries

  • QuestionableJeremy Reaves · Washington Commanders
  • QuestionableLeo Chenal · Washington Commanders
  • QuestionableFrankie Luvu · Washington Commanders
  • QuestionableCharles Omenihu · Washington Commanders
  • QuestionableTyler Owens · Washington Commanders
  • OutM.J. Stewart · Houston Texans
  • QuestionableLogan Hall · Houston Texans
  • QuestionableTrent Brown · Houston Texans
  • QuestionableNico Collins · Houston Texans
  • QuestionableJake Hummel · Houston Texans

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 0.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -4.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.