Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Sunday Slate
Thu, Dec 17 · 7:15pm CT · SoFi Stadium · Inglewood, CA · Prime Video7:15pm CT
SF
San Francisco 49ers · NFC West · 2-0 · Away
FPI 7.3 · rank 6.041 · No nflverse EPA
+2.5 (-110)
+120
LAC
Los Angeles Chargers · AFC West · 0-2 · Home
FPI -1.3 · rank -2.1 · No nflverse EPA
-2.5 (-110)
-142
SoFi Stadium is a dome. No weather in the number, and none on this card.Weather is not in the formula.
Market vs model
Spread
LAC -2.5
LAC -2.5 (-110)
SF +2.5 (-110)
SF +2.5 (-110)
Model
SF -6.2
Edge 8.7 pts SF
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
SF
LAC -142 · SF +120
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
CallStrong
Why
nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.
- LAC rating -1.3, SF rating 7.3.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
- Home field adds 2.4 to LAC.
- Predicted margin is SF by 6.2.
- Edge is 8.7 points toward SF.
- Edge 8.7 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -8.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
- Moneyline ticket is SF, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.
Recent form
SF
- Wvs MIA 35-13 · Sun, Sep 20
- Wvs LAR 27-7 · Thu, Sep 10
- W@ LV 18-12 · Thu, Aug 27
- W@ LAC 41-17 · Thu, Aug 20
- Lvs TEN 19-13 · Thu, Aug 13
LAC
- Lvs LV 26-14 · Sun, Sep 20
- Lvs ARI 26-14 · Sun, Sep 13
- Lvs LAR 20-18 · Thu, Aug 27
- Lvs SF 41-17 · Thu, Aug 20
- W@ HOU 27-7 · Thu, Aug 13
Injuries
- DoubtfulDalvin Tomlinson · Los Angeles Chargers
- QuestionableElijah Molden · Los Angeles Chargers
- QuestionableDerwin James Jr. · Los Angeles Chargers
- QuestionableBrenen Thompson · Los Angeles Chargers
- QuestionableTuli Tuipulotu · Los Angeles Chargers
- Injured ReserveC.J. West · San Francisco 49ers
- QuestionableMike Evans · San Francisco 49ers
- QuestionableRomello Height · San Francisco 49ers
- DoubtfulJames Thompson Jr. · San Francisco 49ers
- OutDemarcus Robinson · San Francisco 49ers
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.