Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Dec 20 · 12:00pm CT · MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJ · CBS12:00pm CT
CLE
Cleveland Browns · AFC North · 1-1 · Away
FPI -6.2 · rank -5.752 · No nflverse EPA
+4.5 (-110)
+170
NYG
New York Giants · NFC East · 1-1 · Home
FPI -6.6 · rank -4.993 · No nflverse EPA
-4.5 (-110)
-205
MetLife Stadium at kickoff: 47°F, wind 11 mph, gusts 24 mph, 21% chance of precip.Display only. The 2024–2025 check did not show wind moving the spread or the total past the closing number, so weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
NYG -4.5
NYG -4.5 (-110)
CLE +4.5 (-110)
Model
NYG -2
Edge 2.5 pts CLE
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
NYG
NYG -205 · CLE +170
Total 40.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • NYG rating -6.6, CLE rating -6.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to NYG.
  • Predicted margin is NYG by 2.
  • Edge is 2.5 points toward CLE.
  • Edge 2.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -0.4; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline ticket is NYG, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

CLE

FPI -6.2 · rank -5.752 · No nflverse EPA

  1. W@ TB 23-19 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. L@ JAX 34-10 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. Wvs NE 37-13 · Thu, Aug 27
  4. Lvs BUF 31-7 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. L@ CHI 34-10 · Sat, Aug 15

NYG

FPI -6.6 · rank -4.993 · No nflverse EPA

  1. L@ LAR 28-6 · Mon, Sep 21
  2. Wvs DAL 28-20 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. W@ NYJ 23-6 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. W@ MIA 26-3 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. Lvs MIN 13-10 · Sat, Aug 15

Injuries

  • QuestionableAndrew Thomas · New York Giants
  • QuestionableDeonte Banks · New York Giants
  • QuestionableTyler Nubin · New York Giants
  • QuestionableBrian Burns · New York Giants
  • QuestionableShelby Harris · New York Giants
  • QuestionableTyson Campbell · Cleveland Browns
  • QuestionableQuincy Williams · Cleveland Browns
  • QuestionableTytus Howard · Cleveland Browns
  • QuestionableMason Graham · Cleveland Browns
  • QuestionableGrant Delpit · Cleveland Browns

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 2.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -0.4; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML