Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Dec 20 · 3:05pm CT · State Farm Stadium · Glendale, AZ · FOX · Indoor3:05pm CT
NYJ
New York Jets · AFC East · 1-1 · Away
FPI -3.3 · rank -2.733 · No nflverse EPA
+1.5 (-125)
-110
ARI
Arizona Cardinals · NFC West · 1-1 · Home
FPI -5.1 · rank -2.419 · No nflverse EPA
-1.5 (+105)
-110
State Farm Stadium is closed. Weather stays off this card.Weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
ARI -1.5
ARI -1.5 (+105)
NYJ +1.5 (-125)
Model
ARI -0.5
Edge 1 pts NYJ
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
Pass
ARI -110 · NYJ -110
Total 41.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • ARI rating -5.1, NYJ rating -3.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to ARI.
  • Predicted margin is ARI by 0.5.
  • Edge is 1 points toward NYJ.
  • Edge 1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

NYJ

FPI -3.3 · rank -2.733 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Lvs GB 20-17 OT · Sun, Sep 20
  2. W@ TEN 23-10 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. Lvs NYG 23-6 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. W@ PIT 17-0 · Fri, Aug 21
  5. Lvs TB 24-16 · Fri, Aug 14

ARI

FPI -5.1 · rank -2.419 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Lvs SEA 31-7 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. W@ LAC 26-14 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. L@ GB 42-38 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. Lvs DAL 34-13 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. W@ LV 27-14 · Thu, Aug 13

Injuries

  • QuestionableMax Melton · Arizona Cardinals
  • QuestionableGarrett Williams · Arizona Cardinals
  • QuestionableDadrion Taylor-Demerson · Arizona Cardinals
  • QuestionableHjalte Froholdt · Arizona Cardinals
  • QuestionableRoy Lopez · Arizona Cardinals
  • QuestionableKene Nwangwu · New York Jets
  • QuestionableMinkah Fitzpatrick · New York Jets
  • QuestionableJoseph Ossai · New York Jets
  • Injured ReserveArian Smith · New York Jets
  • Injured ReserveDavid Onyemata · New York Jets

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.