Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Dec 20 · 3:25pm CT · Allegiant Stadium · Las Vegas, NV · CBS · Indoor3:25pm CT
DEN
Denver Broncos · AFC West · 1-1 · Away
FPI -0.3 · rank -1.675 · No nflverse EPA
-4.5 (-110)
-205
LV
Las Vegas Raiders · AFC West · 2-0 · Home
FPI -3 · rank -3.231 · No nflverse EPA
+4.5 (-110)
+170
Allegiant Stadium is a dome. No weather in the number, and none on this card.Weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
DEN -4.5
LV +4.5 (-110)
DEN -4.5 (-110)
Model
DEN -0.3
Edge 4.2 pts LV
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
Pass
LV +170 · DEN -205
Total 41.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • LV rating -3, DEN rating -0.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to LV.
  • Predicted margin is DEN by 0.3.
  • Edge is 4.2 points toward LV.
  • Edge 4.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

DEN

FPI -0.3 · rank -1.675 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Wvs JAX 20-13 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. L@ KC 31-10 · Mon, Sep 14
  3. Wvs MIN 34-6 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. Lvs GB 33-13 · Fri, Aug 21
  5. W@ ATL 27-7 · Fri, Aug 14

LV

FPI -3 · rank -3.231 · No nflverse EPA

  1. W@ LAC 26-14 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Wvs MIA 27-13 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. Lvs SF 18-12 · Thu, Aug 27
  4. W@ HOU 22-20 · Thu, Aug 20
  5. Lvs ARI 27-14 · Thu, Aug 13

Injuries

  • QuestionableTreydan Stukes · Las Vegas Raiders
  • QuestionableDarien Porter · Las Vegas Raiders
  • QuestionableNakobe Dean · Las Vegas Raiders
  • QuestionableBrock Bowers · Las Vegas Raiders
  • QuestionableFolorunso Fatukasi · Las Vegas Raiders
  • QuestionableMarvin Mims Jr. · Denver Broncos
  • QuestionableJonah Coleman · Denver Broncos
  • QuestionableRJ Harvey · Denver Broncos
  • QuestionableJ.K. Dobbins · Denver Broncos
  • OutJonathon Cooper · Denver Broncos

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 4.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.