Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Fri, Dec 25 · 7:15pm CT · Lumen Field · Seattle, WA · FOX7:15pm CT
LAR
Los Angeles Rams · NFC West · 1-1 · Away
FPI 4.7 · rank 2.831 · No nflverse EPA
+1.5 (-105)
+110
SEA
Seattle Seahawks · NFC West · 2-0 · Home
FPI 2.8 · rank -0.492 · No nflverse EPA
-1.5 (-115)
-130
Lumen Field at kickoff: 62°F, wind 7 mph, gusts 19 mph, 18% chance of precip.Display only. The 2024–2025 check did not show wind moving the spread or the total past the closing number, so weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
SEA -1.5
SEA -1.5 (-115)
LAR +1.5 (-105)
Model
SEA -0.5
Edge 1 pts LAR
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
Pass
SEA -130 · LAR +110
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • SEA rating 2.8, LAR rating 4.7.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to SEA.
  • Predicted margin is SEA by 0.5.
  • Edge is 1 points toward LAR.
  • Edge 1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

LAR

FPI 4.7 · rank 2.831 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Wvs NYG 28-6 · Mon, Sep 21
  2. Lvs SF 27-7 · Thu, Sep 10
  3. W@ LAC 20-18 · Thu, Aug 27
  4. Wvs NO 34-0 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. W@ KC 20-12 · Sat, Aug 15

SEA

FPI 2.8 · rank -0.492 · No nflverse EPA

  1. W@ ARI 31-7 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Wvs NE 13-10 · Wed, Sep 9
  3. T@ KC 9-9 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. L@ TEN 19-16 · Sun, Aug 23
  5. Lvs DAL 17-7 · Sat, Aug 15

Injuries

  • QuestionableTy Okada · Seattle Seahawks
  • QuestionableErnest Jones IV · Seattle Seahawks
  • Injured ReserveAnthony Bradford · Seattle Seahawks
  • QuestionableCooper Kupp · Seattle Seahawks
  • QuestionableGeorge Holani · Seattle Seahawks
  • QuestionableKamren Kinchens · Los Angeles Rams
  • QuestionableNate Landman · Los Angeles Rams
  • QuestionableJordan Whittington · Los Angeles Rams
  • Injured ReserveRonnie Rivers · Los Angeles Rams
  • QuestionableColby Parkinson · Los Angeles Rams

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.