Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sat, Dec 26 · 11:00pm CT · U.S. Bank Stadium · Minneapolis, MN · Indoor11:00pm CT
WSH
Washington Commanders · NFC East · 0-2 · Away
FPI -3.2 · rank -1.419 · No nflverse EPA
+2.5 (-110)
+114
MIN
Minnesota Vikings · NFC North · 2-0 · Home
FPI 1.5 · rank -1.31 · No nflverse EPA
-2.5 (-110)
-135
U.S. Bank Stadium is a dome. No weather in the number, and none on this card.Weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
MIN -2.5
MIN -2.5 (-110)
WSH +2.5 (-110)
Model
MIN -7
Edge 4.5 pts MIN
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
MIN
MIN -135 · WSH +114
Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • MIN rating 1.5, WSH rating -3.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to MIN.
  • Predicted margin is MIN by 7.
  • Edge is 4.5 points toward MIN.
  • Edge 4.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 4.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline ticket is MIN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

WSH

FPI -3.2 · rank -1.419 · No nflverse EPA

  1. L@ DAL 37-20 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. L@ PHI 24-22 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. L@ BAL 41-3 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. L@ DET 17-13 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. Wvs MIA 20-7 · Fri, Aug 14

MIN

FPI 1.5 · rank -1.31 · No nflverse EPA

  1. W@ CHI 9-3 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Wvs GB 39-22 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. L@ DEN 34-6 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. Lvs BAL 13-3 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. W@ NYG 13-10 · Sat, Aug 15

Injuries

  • QuestionableDeeJay Dallas · Minnesota Vikings
  • QuestionableJalen Redmond · Minnesota Vikings
  • QuestionableNick Samac · Minnesota Vikings
  • QuestionableBrian O'Neill · Minnesota Vikings
  • QuestionableJake Golday · Minnesota Vikings
  • QuestionableJeremy Reaves · Washington Commanders
  • QuestionableLeo Chenal · Washington Commanders
  • QuestionableFrankie Luvu · Washington Commanders
  • QuestionableCharles Omenihu · Washington Commanders
  • QuestionableTyler Owens · Washington Commanders

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 4.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 4.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML