Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sun, Dec 27 · 3:05pm CT · Allegiant Stadium · Las Vegas, NV · FOX · Indoor3:05pm CT
TEN
Tennessee Titans · AFC South · 0-2 · Away
FPI -4.7 · rank -3.123 · No nflverse EPA
+1.5 (-110)
+102
LV
Las Vegas Raiders · AFC West · 2-0 · Home
FPI -3 · rank -3.231 · No nflverse EPA
-1.5 (-110)
-122
Allegiant Stadium is a dome. No weather in the number, and none on this card.Weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
LV -1.5
LV -1.5 (-110)
TEN +1.5 (-110)
Model
LV -4.1
Edge 2.6 pts LV
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
LV
LV -122 · TEN +102
Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • LV rating -3, TEN rating -4.7.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to LV.
  • Predicted margin is LV by 4.1.
  • Edge is 2.6 points toward LV.
  • Edge 2.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 1.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline ticket is LV, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

TEN

FPI -4.7 · rank -3.123 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Lvs PHI 24-20 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Lvs NYJ 23-10 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. Lvs CHI 24-15 · Sat, Aug 29
  4. Wvs SEA 19-16 · Sun, Aug 23
  5. W@ SF 19-13 · Thu, Aug 13

LV

FPI -3 · rank -3.231 · No nflverse EPA

  1. W@ LAC 26-14 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Wvs MIA 27-13 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. Lvs SF 18-12 · Thu, Aug 27
  4. W@ HOU 22-20 · Thu, Aug 20
  5. Lvs ARI 27-14 · Thu, Aug 13

Injuries

  • QuestionableTreydan Stukes · Las Vegas Raiders
  • QuestionableDarien Porter · Las Vegas Raiders
  • QuestionableNakobe Dean · Las Vegas Raiders
  • QuestionableBrock Bowers · Las Vegas Raiders
  • QuestionableFolorunso Fatukasi · Las Vegas Raiders
  • QuestionableCor'Dale Flott · Tennessee Titans
  • QuestionableTony Pollard · Tennessee Titans
  • QuestionableTyjae Spears · Tennessee Titans
  • QuestionableSolomon Thomas · Tennessee Titans
  • Injured ReserveMilo Eifler · Tennessee Titans

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 2.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 1.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML