Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Sunday Slate
Mon, Dec 28 · 7:15pm CT · Ford Field · Detroit, MI · ESPN · Indoor7:15pm CT
NYG
New York Giants · NFC East · 1-1 · Away
FPI -6.6 · rank -4.993 · No nflverse EPA
+4.5 (-110)
+170
DET
Detroit Lions · NFC North · 1-1 · Home
FPI 2.3 · rank 3.418 · No nflverse EPA
-4.5 (-110)
-205
Ford Field is a dome. No weather in the number, and none on this card.Weather is not in the formula.
Market vs model
Spread
DET -4.5
DET -4.5 (-110)
NYG +4.5 (-110)
NYG +4.5 (-110)
Model
DET -11.3
Edge 6.8 pts DET
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
DET
DET -205 · NYG +170
Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay
Why
nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.
- DET rating 2.3, NYG rating -6.6.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
- Home field adds 2.4 to DET.
- Predicted margin is DET by 11.3.
- Edge is 6.8 points toward DET.
- Edge 6.8 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 8.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
- Moneyline ticket is DET, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.
Recent form
NYG
- L@ LAR 28-6 · Mon, Sep 21
- Wvs DAL 28-20 · Sun, Sep 13
- W@ NYJ 23-6 · Fri, Aug 28
- W@ MIA 26-3 · Sat, Aug 22
- Lvs MIN 13-10 · Sat, Aug 15
DET
- L@ BUF 41-31 · Thu, Sep 17
- Wvs NO 31-30 OT · Sun, Sep 13
- W@ IND 25-16 · Sat, Aug 29
- Wvs WSH 17-13 · Sat, Aug 22
- L@ CIN 16-14 · Thu, Aug 13
Injuries
- QuestionableTate Ratledge · Detroit Lions
- QuestionableAhmed Hassanein · Detroit Lions
- QuestionableThomas Harper · Detroit Lions
- QuestionableBen Bartch · Detroit Lions
- Injured ReserveAvonte Maddox · Detroit Lions
- QuestionableAndrew Thomas · New York Giants
- QuestionableDeonte Banks · New York Giants
- QuestionableTyler Nubin · New York Giants
- QuestionableBrian Burns · New York Giants
- QuestionableShelby Harris · New York Giants
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.