Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Sunday Slate
Sun, Jan 3 · 12:00pm CT · AT&T Stadium · Arlington, TX · FOX · Indoor12:00pm CT
NYG
New York Giants · NFC East · 1-1 · Away
FPI -6.6 · rank -4.993 · No nflverse EPA
+4.5 (-110)
+180
DAL
Dallas Cowboys · NFC East · 1-1 · Home
FPI 3.1 · rank 4.043 · No nflverse EPA
-4.5 (-110)
-218
AT&T Stadium is closed. Weather stays off this card.Weather is not in the formula.
Market vs model
Spread
DAL -4.5
DAL -4.5 (-110)
NYG +4.5 (-110)
NYG +4.5 (-110)
Model
DAL -12.1
Edge 7.6 pts DAL
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
DAL
DAL -218 · NYG +180
Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay
Why
nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.
- DAL rating 3.1, NYG rating -6.6.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
- Home field adds 2.4 to DAL.
- Predicted margin is DAL by 12.1.
- Edge is 7.6 points toward DAL.
- Edge 7.6 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 9.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
- Moneyline ticket is DAL, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.
Recent form
NYG
- L@ LAR 28-6 · Mon, Sep 21
- Wvs DAL 28-20 · Sun, Sep 13
- W@ NYJ 23-6 · Fri, Aug 28
- W@ MIA 26-3 · Sat, Aug 22
- Lvs MIN 13-10 · Sat, Aug 15
DAL
- Wvs WSH 37-20 · Sun, Sep 20
- L@ NYG 28-20 · Sun, Sep 13
- Lvs NO 27-24 · Fri, Aug 28
- W@ ARI 34-13 · Sat, Aug 22
- W@ SEA 17-7 · Sat, Aug 15
Injuries
- DoubtfulMalik Hooker · Dallas Cowboys
- QuestionableDeMarvion Overshown · Dallas Cowboys
- OutCobie Durant · Dallas Cowboys
- OutP.J. Locke · Dallas Cowboys
- Injured ReserveMalik Davis · Dallas Cowboys
- QuestionableAndrew Thomas · New York Giants
- QuestionableDeonte Banks · New York Giants
- QuestionableTyler Nubin · New York Giants
- QuestionableBrian Burns · New York Giants
- QuestionableShelby Harris · New York Giants
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.