Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Sunday Slate
Sun, Jan 3 · 12:00pm CT · Nissan Stadium · Nashville, TN · CBS12:00pm CT
PIT
Pittsburgh Steelers · AFC North · 1-1 · Away
FPI -2.8 · rank -3.731 · No nflverse EPA
-1.5 (-110)
-122
TEN
Tennessee Titans · AFC South · 0-2 · Home
FPI -4.7 · rank -3.123 · No nflverse EPA
+1.5 (-110)
+102
Nissan Stadium at kickoff: 55°F, wind 7 mph, gusts 15 mph, 6% chance of precip.Display only. The 2024–2025 check did not show wind moving the spread or the total past the closing number, so weather is not in the formula.
Market vs model
Spread
PIT -1.5
TEN +1.5 (-110)
PIT -1.5 (-110)
PIT -1.5 (-110)
Model
TEN -0.5
Edge 2 pts TEN
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
Pass
TEN +102 · PIT -122
Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.
- TEN rating -4.7, PIT rating -2.8.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
- Home field adds 2.4 to TEN.
- Predicted margin is TEN by 0.5.
- Edge is 2 points toward TEN.
- Edge 2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
- Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
- No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.
Recent form
PIT
- L@ NE 20-3 · Sun, Sep 20
- Wvs ATL 20-13 · Sun, Sep 13
- L@ BUF 28-27 · Thu, Aug 27
- Lvs NYJ 17-0 · Fri, Aug 21
- Wvs GB 28-9 · Thu, Aug 13
TEN
- Lvs PHI 24-20 · Sun, Sep 20
- Lvs NYJ 23-10 · Sun, Sep 13
- Lvs CHI 24-15 · Sat, Aug 29
- Wvs SEA 19-16 · Sun, Aug 23
- W@ SF 19-13 · Thu, Aug 13
Injuries
- QuestionableCor'Dale Flott · Tennessee Titans
- QuestionableTony Pollard · Tennessee Titans
- QuestionableTyjae Spears · Tennessee Titans
- QuestionableSolomon Thomas · Tennessee Titans
- Injured ReserveMilo Eifler · Tennessee Titans
- QuestionableJamel Dean · Pittsburgh Steelers
- QuestionableJoey Porter Jr. · Pittsburgh Steelers
- QuestionableMichael Pittman Jr. · Pittsburgh Steelers
- QuestionableJaylen Warren · Pittsburgh Steelers
- QuestionableRico Dowdle · Pittsburgh Steelers
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.
Edge 2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.