Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sat, Jan 9 · 11:00pm CT · State Farm Stadium · Glendale, AZ · Indoor11:00pm CT
SF
San Francisco 49ers · NFC West · 2-0 · Away
FPI 7.3 · rank 6.041 · No nflverse EPA
-8.5 (-110)
-410
ARI
Arizona Cardinals · NFC West · 1-1 · Home
FPI -5.1 · rank -2.419 · No nflverse EPA
+8.5 (-110)
+320
State Farm Stadium is closed. Weather stays off this card.Weather is not in the formula.

Market vs model

Spread
SF -8.5
ARI +8.5 (-110)
SF -8.5 (-110)
Model
SF -10.1
Edge 1.6 pts SF
Full ratings
Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
ML / total
SF
ARI +320 · SF -410
Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

  • ARI rating -5.1, SF rating 7.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Home field adds 2.4 to ARI.
  • Predicted margin is SF by 10.1.
  • Edge is 1.6 points toward SF.
  • Edge 1.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -12.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
  • Moneyline ticket is SF, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals ticket. On 2024–2025 closing totals the EPA number was less accurate than the market, so the total stays on the card and off the ticket.

Recent form

SF

FPI 7.3 · rank 6.041 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Wvs MIA 35-13 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. Wvs LAR 27-7 · Thu, Sep 10
  3. W@ LV 18-12 · Thu, Aug 27
  4. W@ LAC 41-17 · Thu, Aug 20
  5. Lvs TEN 19-13 · Thu, Aug 13

ARI

FPI -5.1 · rank -2.419 · No nflverse EPA

  1. Lvs SEA 31-7 · Sun, Sep 20
  2. W@ LAC 26-14 · Sun, Sep 13
  3. L@ GB 42-38 · Fri, Aug 28
  4. Lvs DAL 34-13 · Sat, Aug 22
  5. W@ LV 27-14 · Thu, Aug 13

Injuries

  • QuestionableMax Melton · Arizona Cardinals
  • QuestionableGarrett Williams · Arizona Cardinals
  • QuestionableDadrion Taylor-Demerson · Arizona Cardinals
  • QuestionableHjalte Froholdt · Arizona Cardinals
  • QuestionableRoy Lopez · Arizona Cardinals
  • Injured ReserveC.J. West · San Francisco 49ers
  • QuestionableMike Evans · San Francisco 49ers
  • QuestionableRomello Height · San Francisco 49ers
  • DoubtfulJames Thompson Jr. · San Francisco 49ers
  • OutDemarcus Robinson · San Francisco 49ers

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV fills in after the game is final if the nflverse cache has a closing spread. Until then it stays blank.

Edge 1.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -12.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML