Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

NFL board for the Sunday slate. Same desk, tighter numbers. A public power rating versus the posted line — not a lock, and not a claim we beat the close.

2026 ATS
0–0
Moneyline
20–5
Open tickets
23
This weekAFCNFC
Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14Week 15Week 16Week 17Week 18

2026 · Week 18 · 8 games shown · 0 ATS tickets · fetched 4:09:34 AM CT · ESPN NFL public scoreboard and FPI

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

Sat, Jan 9 · 11:00pm CT · Orchard Park, NY11:00pm CT
NYJ
New York · AFC East · 1-1
+10
+360
BUF
Buffalo · AFC East · 2-0 · H
-10
-470
No bet / too close
Model -11.3 vs market -10 (home).
ML: BUF -470 · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.3 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 8.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.3 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sat, Jan 9 · 11:00pm CT · Cincinnati, OH11:00pm CT
CLE
Cleveland · AFC North · 1-1
+7.5
+280
CIN
Cincinnati · AFC North · 2-0 · H
-7.5
-355
No bet / too close
Model -10.3 vs market -7.5 (home).
ML: CIN -355 · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 7.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.8 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sat, Jan 9 · 11:00pm CT · Denver, CO11:00pm CT
LAC
Los Angeles · AFC West · 0-2
+1.5
+102
DEN
Denver · AFC West · 1-1 · H
-1.5
-122
No bet / too close
Model -3.4 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: DEN -122 · Total 41.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.9 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.9 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sat, Jan 9 · 11:00pm CT · Indianapolis, IN11:00pm CT
JAX
Jacksonville · AFC South · 1-1
+1.5
+102
IND
Indianapolis · AFC South · 0-2 · H
-1.5
-122
No bet / too close
Model +1.3 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -3.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.8 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sat, Jan 9 · 11:00pm CT · Kansas City, MO11:00pm CT
LV
Las Vegas · AFC West · 2-0
+8.5
+300
KC
Kansas City · AFC West · 2-0 · H
-8.5
-380
No bet / too close
Model -9.9 vs market -8.5 (home).
ML: KC -380 · Total 40.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 7.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sat, Jan 9 · 11:00pm CT · Foxborough, MA11:00pm CT
MIA
Miami · AFC East · 0-2
+10.5
+425
NE
New England · AFC East · 1-1 · H
-10.5
-575
No bet / too close
Model -12.5 vs market -10.5 (home).
ML: NE -575 · Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 10.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sat, Jan 9 · 11:00pm CT · Baltimore, MD11:00pm CT
PIT
Pittsburgh · AFC North · 1-1
+5.5
+185
BAL
Baltimore · AFC North · 1-1 · H
-5.5
-225
No bet / too close
Model -9.3 vs market -5.5 (home).
ML: BAL -225 · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3.9 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3.9 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sat, Jan 9 · 11:00pm CT · Houston, TX11:00pm CT
TEN
Tennessee · AFC South · 0-2
+7
+240
HOU
Houston · AFC South · 0-2 · H
-7
-298
No bet / too close
Model -8 vs market -7 (home).
ML: HOU -298 · Total 39.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 5.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg