Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

NFL board for the Sunday slate. Same desk, tighter numbers. A public power rating versus the posted line — not a lock, and not a claim we beat the close.

2026 ATS
0–0
Moneyline
20–5
Open tickets
23
This weekAFCNFC
Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14Week 15Week 16Week 17Week 18

2026 · Week 17 · 10 games shown · 2 ATS tickets · fetched 4:09:44 AM CT · ESPN NFL public scoreboard and FPI

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

Sat, Jan 2 · 11:00pm CT · Tampa, FL11:00pm CT
LAR
Los Angeles · NFC West · 1-1
-4.5
-205
TB
Tampa Bay · NFC South · 0-2 · H
+4.5
+170
No bet / too close
Model +3.4 vs market +4.5 (home).
ML: LAR -205 · Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -5.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sat, Jan 2 · 11:00pm CT · Jacksonville, FL11:00pm CT
WSH
Washington · NFC East · 0-2
+3.5
+154
JAX
Jacksonville · AFC South · 1-1 · H
-3.5
-185
No bet / too close
Model -8.2 vs market -3.5 (home).
ML: JAX -185 · Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 4.7 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 5.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge4.7 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Jan 3 · 12:00pm CT · Atlanta, GA · FOX12:00pm CT
NO
New Orleans · NFC South · 1-1
+1.5
+102
ATL
Atlanta · NFC South · 0-2 · H
-1.5
-122
No bet / too close
Model +2.2 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: NO +102 · Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3.7 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -4.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3.7 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Jan 3 · 12:00pm CT · Arlington, TX · FOX12:00pm CT
NYG
New York · NFC East · 1-1
+4.5
+180
DAL
Dallas · NFC East · 1-1 · H
-4.5
-218
ATS DAL -4.5
Model -12.1 vs Vegas -4.5 home.
ML: DAL -218 · Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 7.6 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 9.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge7.6 ptsPlayESPN FPI
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Sun, Jan 3 · 12:00pm CT · East Rutherford, NJ · CBS12:00pm CT
MIN
Minnesota · NFC North · 2-0
-3.5
-185
NYJ
New York · AFC East · 1-1 · H
+3.5
+154
No bet / too close
Model +2.3 vs market +3.5 (home).
ML: MIN -185 · Total 39.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -4.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Jan 3 · 12:00pm CT · Charlotte, NC · FOX12:00pm CT
SEA
Seattle · NFC West · 2-0
-5.5
-245
CAR
Carolina · NFC South · 1-1 · H
+5.5
+200
No bet / too close
Model +1.8 vs market +5.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3.7 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -4.2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3.7 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Jan 3 · 3:05pm CT · Glendale, AZ · CBS3:05pm CT
LV
Las Vegas · AFC West · 2-0
-1.5
-130
ARI
Arizona · NFC West · 1-1 · H
+1.5
+110
No bet / too close
Model -0.3 vs market +1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.8 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Jan 3 · 3:25pm CT · Chicago, IL · FOX3:25pm CT
DET
Detroit · NFC North · 1-1
+1.5
+105
CHI
Chicago · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-1.5
-125
No bet / too close
Model +0.5 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Jan 3 · 7:20pm CT · Santa Clara, CA · NBC7:20pm CT
PHI
Philadelphia · NFC East · 2-0
+1.5
+105
SF
San Francisco · NFC West · 2-0 · H
-1.5
-125
ATS SF -1.5
Model -8.2 vs Vegas -1.5 home.
ML: SF -125 · Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 6.7 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 5.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge6.7 ptsPlayESPN FPI
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Mon, Jan 4 · 7:15pm CT · Green Bay, WI · ESPN7:15pm CT
HOU
Houston · AFC South · 0-2
+2.5
+114
GB
Green Bay · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-2.5
-135
No bet / too close
Model -2 vs market -2.5 (home).
ML: GB -135 · Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -0.4; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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