Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

NFL board for the Sunday slate. Same desk, tighter numbers. A public power rating versus the posted line — not a lock, and not a claim we beat the close.

CollegeNFL
2026 ATS
0–0
Moneyline
20–5
Open tickets
23
This weekAFCNFC
Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14Week 15Week 16Week 17Week 18

2026 · Week 13 · 8 games shown · 1 ATS tickets · fetched 4:09:43 AM CT · ESPN NFL public scoreboard and FPI

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

Thu, Dec 3 · 7:15pm CT · Inglewood, CA · Prime Video7:15pm CT
KC
Kansas City · AFC West · 2-0
+3.5
+170
LAR
Los Angeles · NFC West · 1-1 · H
-3.5
-205
No bet / too close
Model -2.6 vs market -3.5 (home).
ML: LAR -205 · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.9 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 0.2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.9 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Dec 6 · 12:00pm CT · Chicago, IL · FOX12:00pm CT
JAX
Jacksonville · AFC South · 1-1
+3
+130
CHI
Chicago · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-3
-155
No bet / too close
Model +0.8 vs market -3 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -3.2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3.8 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Dec 6 · 12:00pm CT · Cleveland, OH · CBS12:00pm CT
CIN
Cincinnati · AFC North · 2-0
-4.5
-225
CLE
Cleveland · AFC North · 1-1 · H
+4.5
+185
No bet / too close
Model +5.5 vs market +4.5 (home).
ML: CIN -225 · Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -7.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Dec 6 · 12:00pm CT · Nashville, TN · CBS12:00pm CT
WSH
Washington · NFC East · 0-2
-1.5
-125
TEN
Tennessee · AFC South · 0-2 · H
+1.5
+105
No bet / too close
Model -0.8 vs market +1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.3 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.3 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Dec 6 · 12:00pm CT · Tampa, FL · CBS12:00pm CT
LAC
Los Angeles · AFC West · 0-2
-2.5
-135
TB
Tampa Bay · NFC South · 0-2 · H
+2.5
+114
ATS TB +2.5
Model -2.6 vs Vegas +2.5 home.
ML: TB +114 · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 5.1 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 0.2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge5.1 ptsLeanESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Dec 6 · 3:05pm CT · Denver, CO · FOX3:05pm CT
MIA
Miami · AFC East · 0-2
+9.5
+360
DEN
Denver · AFC West · 1-1 · H
-9.5
-470
No bet / too close
Model -10.2 vs market -9.5 (home).
ML: DEN -470 · Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.7 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 7.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.7 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Dec 6 · 3:25pm CT · Foxborough, MA · CBS3:25pm CT
BUF
Buffalo · AFC East · 2-0
+1.5
+102
NE
New England · AFC East · 1-1 · H
-1.5
-122
No bet / too close
Model +1.3 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -3.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.8 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Dec 6 · 7:20pm CT · Pittsburgh, PA · NBC7:20pm CT
HOU
Houston · AFC South · 0-2
-1.5
-122
PIT
Pittsburgh · AFC North · 1-1 · H
+1.5
+102
No bet / too close
Model +1.3 vs market +1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 41.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -3.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive