Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

NFL board for the Sunday slate. Same desk, tighter numbers. A public power rating versus the posted line — not a lock, and not a claim we beat the close.

2026 ATS
0–0
Moneyline
8–3
Open tickets
5
This weekAFCNFC
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2026 · Week 8 · 14 games shown · 0 ATS tickets · fetched 3:10:52 AM CT · ESPN NFL public scoreboard and FPI

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

Thu, Oct 29 · 7:15pm CT · Green Bay, WI · Prime Video7:15pm CT
CAR
Carolina · NFC South · 1-1
+7
+270
GB
Green Bay · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-7
-340
No bet / too close
Model -4.3 vs market -7 (home).
ML: GB -340 · Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.7 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 1.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.7 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00pm CT · Orchard Park, NY · CBS12:00pm CT
BAL
Baltimore · AFC North · 1-1
+2.5
+114
BUF
Buffalo · AFC East · 2-0 · H
-2.5
-135
No bet / too close
Model -3.9 vs market -2.5 (home).
ML: BUF -135 · Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 1.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00pm CT · Cincinnati, OH · CBS12:00pm CT
TEN
Tennessee · AFC South · 0-2
+6.5
+235
CIN
Cincinnati · AFC North · 2-0 · H
-6.5
-290
No bet / too close
Model -8.8 vs market -6.5 (home).
ML: CIN -290 · Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.3 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 6.4; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.3 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00pm CT · Arlington, TX · FOX12:00pm CT
ARI
Arizona · NFC West · 1-1
+10.5
+400
DAL
Dallas · NFC East · 1-1 · H
-10.5
-535
No bet / too close
Model -10.6 vs market -10.5 (home).
ML: DAL -535 · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 8.2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.1 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00pm CT · Detroit, MI · FOX12:00pm CT
MIN
Minnesota · NFC North · 2-0
+4.5
+180
DET
Detroit · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-4.5
-218
No bet / too close
Model -3.3 vs market -4.5 (home).
ML: DET -218 · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 0.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00pm CT · East Rutherford, NJ · FOX12:00pm CT
LV
Las Vegas · AFC West · 2-0
+1.5
+105
NYJ
New York · AFC East · 1-1 · H
-1.5
-125
No bet / too close
Model -2.1 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: NYJ -125 · Total 40.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -0.3; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.6 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00pm CT · Pittsburgh, PA · CBS12:00pm CT
CLE
Cleveland · AFC North · 1-1
+6
+210
PIT
Pittsburgh · AFC North · 1-1 · H
-6
-258
No bet / too close
Model -5.8 vs market -6 (home).
ML: PIT -258 · Total 39.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 3.4; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00pm CT · Tampa, FL · FOX12:00pm CT
ATL
Atlanta · NFC South · 0-2
+4.5
+180
TB
Tampa Bay · NFC South · 0-2 · H
-4.5
-218
No bet / too close
Model -6.5 vs market -4.5 (home).
ML: TB -218 · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 4.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00pm CT · Jacksonville, FL · CBS12:00pm CT
IND
Indianapolis · AFC South · 0-2
+4.5
+180
JAX
Jacksonville · AFC South · 1-1 · H
-4.5
-218
No bet / too close
Model -6.1 vs market -4.5 (home).
ML: JAX -218 · Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 3.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.6 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Nov 1 · 3:05pm CT · Inglewood, CA · FOX3:05pm CT
LAC
Los Angeles · AFC West · 0-2
+4.5
+164
LAR
Los Angeles · NFC West · 1-1 · H
-4.5
-198
No bet / too close
Model -8.3 vs market -4.5 (home).
ML: LAR -198 · Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 5.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3.8 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Nov 1 · 3:25pm CT · Denver, CO · CBS3:25pm CT
KC
Kansas City · AFC West · 2-0
+1.5
+105
DEN
Denver · AFC West · 1-1 · H
-1.5
-125
No bet / too close
Model +2.3 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: KC +105 · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -4.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3.8 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Nov 1 · 3:25pm CT · Miami Gardens, FL · CBS3:25pm CT
NE
New England · AFC East · 1-1
-7
-355
MIA
Miami · AFC East · 0-2 · H
+7
+280
No bet / too close
Model +7.7 vs market +7 (home).
ML: NE -355 · Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.7 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -10.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.7 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Nov 1 · 7:20pm CT · Landover, MD · NBC7:20pm CT
PHI
Philadelphia · NFC East · 2-0
-1.5
-125
WSH
Washington · NFC East · 0-2 · H
+1.5
+105
No bet / too close
Model +2.3 vs market +1.5 (home).
ML: PHI -125 · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -4.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.8 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Mon, Nov 2 · 7:15pm CT · Seattle, WA · ESPN7:15pm CT
CHI
Chicago · NFC North · 1-1
+4.5
+185
SEA
Seattle · NFC West · 2-0 · H
-4.5
-225
No bet / too close
Model -5.7 vs market -4.5 (home).
ML: SEA -225 · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 3.3; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg