Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

NFL board for the Sunday slate. Same desk, tighter numbers. A public power rating versus the posted line — not a lock, and not a claim we beat the close.

2026 ATS
0–0
Moneyline
20–5
Open tickets
23
This weekAFCNFC
Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14Week 15Week 16Week 17Week 18

2026 · Week 16 · 10 games shown · 0 ATS tickets · fetched 4:09:34 AM CT · ESPN NFL public scoreboard and FPI

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

Thu, Dec 24 · 7:15pm CT · Philadelphia, PA · Prime Video7:15pm CT
HOU
Houston · AFC South · 0-2
+2.5
+114
PHI
Philadelphia · NFC East · 2-0 · H
-2.5
-135
No bet / too close
Model -3 vs market -2.5 (home).
ML: PHI -135 · Total 37.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 0.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Fri, Dec 25 · 3:30pm CT · Denver, CO · Netflix3:30pm CT
BUF
Buffalo · AFC East · 2-0
-1.5
-130
DEN
Denver · AFC West · 1-1 · H
+1.5
+110
No bet / too close
Model +3.6 vs market +1.5 (home).
ML: BUF -130 · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -5.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.1 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sat, Dec 26 · 11:00pm CT · Indianapolis, IN11:00pm CT
CIN
Cincinnati · AFC North · 2-0
-1.5
-122
IND
Indianapolis · AFC South · 0-2 · H
+1.5
+102
No bet / too close
Model +0.3 vs market +1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sat, Dec 26 · 11:00pm CT · Pittsburgh, PA11:00pm CT
CAR
Carolina · NFC South · 1-1
+3.5
+160
PIT
Pittsburgh · AFC North · 1-1 · H
-3.5
-192
No bet / too close
Model -1 vs market -3.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 41.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.4; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Dec 27 · 12:00pm CT · Miami Gardens, FL · FOX12:00pm CT
LAC
Los Angeles · AFC West · 0-2
-7
-375
MIA
Miami · AFC East · 0-2 · H
+7
+295
No bet / too close
Model +4.4 vs market +7 (home).
ML: LAC -375 · Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -6.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.6 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Dec 27 · 12:00pm CT · East Rutherford, NJ · CBS12:00pm CT
NE
New England · AFC East · 1-1
-6.5
-270
NYJ
New York · AFC East · 1-1 · H
+6.5
+220
No bet / too close
Model +2.9 vs market +6.5 (home).
ML: NE -270 · Total 40.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -5.3; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3.6 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Dec 27 · 12:00pm CT · Baltimore, MD · CBS12:00pm CT
CLE
Cleveland · AFC North · 1-1
+10
+320
BAL
Baltimore · AFC North · 1-1 · H
-10
-410
No bet / too close
Model -12.8 vs market -10 (home).
ML: BAL -410 · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 10.4; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.8 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Dec 27 · 3:05pm CT · Las Vegas, NV · FOX3:05pm CT
TEN
Tennessee · AFC South · 0-2
+1.5
+102
LV
Las Vegas · AFC West · 2-0 · H
-1.5
-122
No bet / too close
Model -4.1 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: LV -122 · Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 1.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.6 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Dec 27 · 3:25pm CT · Kansas City, MO · CBS3:25pm CT
SF
San Francisco · NFC West · 2-0
+3
+130
KC
Kansas City · AFC West · 2-0 · H
-3
-155
No bet / too close
Model +0.5 vs market -3 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Dec 27 · 7:20pm CT · Arlington, TX · NBC7:20pm CT
JAX
Jacksonville · AFC South · 1-1
+3
+136
DAL
Dallas · NFC East · 1-1 · H
-3
-162
No bet / too close
Model -2.8 vs market -3 (home).
ML: DAL -162 · Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 0.4; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg