Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

NFL board for the Sunday slate. Same desk, tighter numbers. A public power rating versus the posted line — not a lock, and not a claim we beat the close.

CollegeNFL
2026 ATS
0–0
Moneyline
20–5
Open tickets
23
This weekAFCNFC
Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14Week 15Week 16Week 17Week 18

2026 · Week 6 · 8 games shown · 1 ATS tickets · fetched 4:09:33 AM CT · ESPN NFL public scoreboard and FPI

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

Thu, Oct 15 · 7:15pm CT · Denver, CO · Prime Video7:15pm CT
SEA
Seattle · NFC West · 2-0
-1.5
-130
DEN
Denver · AFC West · 1-1 · H
+1.5
+110
No bet / too close
Model +0.7 vs market +1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -3.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.8 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Oct 18 · 8:30am CT · London · NFL Net · Neutral8:30am CT
HOU
Houston · AFC South · 0-2
+1.5
-108
JAX
Jacksonville · AFC South · 1-1
-1.5
-112
No bet / too close
Model -1.7 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 1.7; neutral site (no home field)). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Oct 18 · 12:00pm CT · Cleveland, OH · FOX12:00pm CT
BAL
Baltimore · AFC North · 1-1
-6.5
-250
CLE
Cleveland · AFC North · 1-1 · H
+6.5
+205
No bet / too close
Model +8 vs market +6.5 (home).
ML: BAL -250 · Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -10.4; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 18 · 12:00pm CT · Indianapolis, IN · FOX12:00pm CT
TEN
Tennessee · AFC South · 0-2
+3.5
+160
IND
Indianapolis · AFC South · 0-2 · H
-3.5
-192
No bet / too close
Model -6.1 vs market -3.5 (home).
ML: IND -192 · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 3.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.6 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 18 · 12:00pm CT · Foxborough, MA · CBS12:00pm CT
NYJ
New York · AFC East · 1-1
+9.5
+340
NE
New England · AFC East · 1-1 · H
-9.5
-440
No bet / too close
Model -7.7 vs market -9.5 (home).
ML: NE -440 · Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 5.3; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.8 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 18 · 12:00pm CT · Tampa, FL · CBS12:00pm CT
PIT
Pittsburgh · AFC North · 1-1
+1.5
+105
TB
Tampa Bay · NFC South · 0-2 · H
-1.5
-125
No bet / too close
Model -4.2 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: TB -125 · Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.7 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 1.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.7 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 18 · 3:25pm CT · Kansas City, MO · CBS3:25pm CT
LAC
Los Angeles · AFC West · 0-2
+2.5
+120
KC
Kansas City · AFC West · 2-0 · H
-2.5
-142
ATS KC -2.5
Model -8.1 vs Vegas -2.5 home.
ML: KC -142 · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 5.6 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 5.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge5.6 ptsLeanESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 18 · 3:25pm CT · Las Vegas, NV · CBS3:25pm CT
BUF
Buffalo · AFC East · 2-0
-6.5
-270
LV
Las Vegas · AFC West · 2-0 · H
+6.5
+220
No bet / too close
Model +6.3 vs market +6.5 (home).
ML: BUF -270 · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -8.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg