Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

NFL board for the Sunday slate. Same desk, tighter numbers. A public power rating versus the posted line — not a lock, and not a claim we beat the close.

CollegeNFL
2026 ATS
0–0
Moneyline
20–5
Open tickets
23
This weekAFCNFC
Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14Week 15Week 16Week 17Week 18

2026 · Week 3 · 11 games shown · 1 ATS tickets · fetched 3:13:20 AM CT · ESPN NFL public scoreboard and FPI

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

Thu, Sep 24 · 7:15pm CT · Green Bay, WI · Prime Video7:15pm CT
ATL
Atlanta · NFC South · 0-2
+4.5
+200
GB
Green Bay · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-4.5
-245
No bet / too close
Model -8.1 vs market -4.5 (home).
ML: GB -245 · Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 5.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3.6 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Sep 27 · 12:00pm CT · Cleveland, OH · FOX12:00pm CT
CAR
Carolina · NFC South · 1-1
-2.5
-148
CLE
Cleveland · AFC North · 1-1 · H
+2.5
+124
No bet / too close
Model +2.4 vs market +2.5 (home).
ML: CAR -148 · Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -4.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.1 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Sep 27 · 12:00pm CT · Detroit, MI · FOX12:00pm CT
NYJ
New York · AFC East · 1-1
+6.5
+245
DET
Detroit · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-6.5
-305
No bet / too close
Model -8 vs market -6.5 (home).
ML: DET -305 · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 5.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Sep 27 · 12:00pm CT · East Rutherford, NJ · CBS12:00pm CT
TEN
Tennessee · AFC South · 0-2
+3
+120
NYG
New York · NFC East · 1-1 · H
-3
-142
No bet / too close
Model -0.5 vs market -3 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 39.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Sep 27 · 12:00pm CT · Landover, MD · FOX12:00pm CT
SEA
Seattle · NFC West · 2-0
-7
-345
WSH
Washington · NFC East · 0-2 · H
+7
+275
No bet / too close
Model +3.6 vs market +7 (home).
ML: SEA -345 · Total 40.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Sep 27 · 3:05pm CT · Santa Clara, CA · FOX3:05pm CT
ARI
Arizona · NFC West · 1-1
+8.5
+350
SF
San Francisco · NFC West · 2-0 · H
-8.5
-455
ATS SF -8.5
Model -14.9 vs Vegas -8.5 home.
ML: SF -455 · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 6.4 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 12.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge6.4 ptsLeanESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Sep 27 · 3:05pm CT · Tampa, FL · FOX3:05pm CT
MIN
Minnesota · NFC North · 2-0
-1.5
-122
TB
Tampa Bay · NFC South · 0-2 · H
+1.5
+102
No bet / too close
Model +0.1 vs market +1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Sep 27 · 3:25pm CT · Rio De Janeiro · CBS · Neutral3:25pm CT
BAL
Baltimore · AFC North · 1-1
-3.5
-180
DAL
Dallas · NFC East · 1-1
+3.5
+150
No bet / too close
Model +1.1 vs market +3.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.1; neutral site (no home field)). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Sep 27 · 3:25pm CT · New Orleans, LA · CBS3:25pm CT
LV
Las Vegas · AFC West · 2-0
+3
+154
NO
New Orleans · NFC South · 1-1 · H
-3
-185
No bet / too close
Model -4.8 vs market -3 (home).
ML: NO -185 · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 2.4; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.8 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Sep 27 · 7:20pm CT · Denver, CO · NBC7:20pm CT
LAR
Los Angeles · NFC West · 1-1
-2.5
-135
DEN
Denver · AFC West · 1-1 · H
+2.5
+114
No bet / too close
Model +2.6 vs market +2.5 (home).
ML: LAR -135 · Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.1 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Mon, Sep 28 · 7:15pm CT · Chicago, IL · ESPN7:15pm CT
PHI
Philadelphia · NFC East · 2-0
-4.5
-225
CHI
Chicago · NFC North · 1-1 · H
+4.5
+185
No bet / too close
Model -0.3 vs market +4.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 41.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 4.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge4.8 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive