Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

NFL board for the Sunday slate. Same desk, tighter numbers. A public power rating versus the posted line — not a lock, and not a claim we beat the close.

CollegeNFL
2026 ATS
0–0
Moneyline
20–5
Open tickets
23
This weekAFCNFC
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2026 · Week 3 · 11 games shown · 1 ATS tickets · fetched 4:09:30 AM CT · ESPN NFL public scoreboard and FPI

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

Thu, Sep 24 · 7:15pm CT · Green Bay, WI · Prime Video7:15pm CT
ATL
Atlanta · NFC South · 0-2
+4.5
+200
GB
Green Bay · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-4.5
-245
No bet / too close
Model -8.1 vs market -4.5 (home).
ML: GB -245 · Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 5.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3.6 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Sep 27 · 12:00pm CT · Cleveland, OH · FOX12:00pm CT
CAR
Carolina · NFC South · 1-1
-2.5
-148
CLE
Cleveland · AFC North · 1-1 · H
+2.5
+124
No bet / too close
Model +2.4 vs market +2.5 (home).
ML: CAR -148 · Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -4.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.1 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Sep 27 · 12:00pm CT · Detroit, MI · FOX12:00pm CT
NYJ
New York · AFC East · 1-1
+6.5
+245
DET
Detroit · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-6.5
-305
No bet / too close
Model -8 vs market -6.5 (home).
ML: DET -305 · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 5.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Sep 27 · 12:00pm CT · East Rutherford, NJ · CBS12:00pm CT
TEN
Tennessee · AFC South · 0-2
+3
+120
NYG
New York · NFC East · 1-1 · H
-3
-142
No bet / too close
Model -0.5 vs market -3 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 39.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Sep 27 · 12:00pm CT · Landover, MD · FOX12:00pm CT
SEA
Seattle · NFC West · 2-0
-7
-345
WSH
Washington · NFC East · 0-2 · H
+7
+275
No bet / too close
Model +3.6 vs market +7 (home).
ML: SEA -345 · Total 40.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Sep 27 · 3:05pm CT · Santa Clara, CA · FOX3:05pm CT
ARI
Arizona · NFC West · 1-1
+8.5
+340
SF
San Francisco · NFC West · 2-0 · H
-8.5
-440
ATS SF -8.5
Model -14.9 vs Vegas -8.5 home.
ML: SF -440 · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 6.4 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 12.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge6.4 ptsLeanESPN FPI
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Sun, Sep 27 · 3:05pm CT · Tampa, FL · FOX3:05pm CT
MIN
Minnesota · NFC North · 2-0
-1.5
-122
TB
Tampa Bay · NFC South · 0-2 · H
+1.5
+102
No bet / too close
Model +0.1 vs market +1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Sep 27 · 3:25pm CT · Rio De Janeiro · CBS · Neutral3:25pm CT
BAL
Baltimore · AFC North · 1-1
-3.5
-180
DAL
Dallas · NFC East · 1-1
+3.5
+150
No bet / too close
Model +1.1 vs market +3.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.1; neutral site (no home field)). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Sep 27 · 3:25pm CT · New Orleans, LA · CBS3:25pm CT
LV
Las Vegas · AFC West · 2-0
+3
+154
NO
New Orleans · NFC South · 1-1 · H
-3
-185
No bet / too close
Model -4.8 vs market -3 (home).
ML: NO -185 · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 2.4; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.8 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Sep 27 · 7:20pm CT · Denver, CO · NBC7:20pm CT
LAR
Los Angeles · NFC West · 1-1
-2.5
-135
DEN
Denver · AFC West · 1-1 · H
+2.5
+114
No bet / too close
Model +2.6 vs market +2.5 (home).
ML: LAR -135 · Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.1 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Mon, Sep 28 · 7:15pm CT · Chicago, IL · ESPN7:15pm CT
PHI
Philadelphia · NFC East · 2-0
-4.5
-225
CHI
Chicago · NFC North · 1-1 · H
+4.5
+185
No bet / too close
Model -0.3 vs market +4.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 41.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 4.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge4.8 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive